Hurricane Michelle

Forecast Advisory 29



000
WTNT35 KNHC 052034
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
HURRICANE MICHELLE ADVISORY NUMBER 29
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
4 PM EST MON NOV 05 2001

...MICHELLE MOVING AWAY FROM BAHAMAS...SLOWLY WEAKENING...

THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS WILL DISCONTINUE ALL HURRICANE
WARNINGS FOR THE CENTRAL AND NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS AT 5 PM EST...2200
UTC. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING WILL BE IN EFFECT FOR THE ISLANDS OF
ABACO AND ELEUTHERA.

AT 4 PM EST...THE GOVERNMENT OF BERMUDA CHANGED THEIR HURRICANE
WATCH TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING.

THE GALE WARNING IS DISCONTINUED ON THE FLORIDA EAST COAST FROM
COCOA BEACH SOUTHWARD TO JUPITER INLET. ALL WARNINGS ARE
DISCONTINUED FOR SOUTH FLORIDA. MARINE INTERESTS SHOULD
EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS SLOLY SUBSIDE.

AT 4 PM EST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MICHELLE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 25.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 75.4 WEST OR ABOUT 145 MILES
...230 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF NASSAU IN THE BAHAMAS. THIS POSITION
IS ALSO ABOUT 790 MILES...1270 KM...WEST-SOUTHWEST OF BERMUDA.

MICHELLE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 21 MPH...33 KM/HR...
AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 230 MILES...370 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 980 MB...28.94 INCHES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING IN PORTIONS OF THE BAHAMAS IS EXPECTED TO
GRADUALLY SUBSIDE.

REPEATING THE 4 PM EST POSITION...25.9 N... 75.4 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 21 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 75 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 980 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 7 PM EST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 10 PM EST.

FORECASTER LAWRENCE



000
WTNT31 KNHC 052039
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
HURRICANE NOEL ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM AST MON NOV 05 2001

...NORTHBOUND NOEL EXPECTED TO WEAKEN SOON...

AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE NOEL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 39.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 50.3 WEST OR ABOUT 515 MILES...825
KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND.

NOEL IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/HR. A NORTHWARD
MOTION AT INCREASING SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. NOEL
IS EXPECTED TO PASS TO THE EAST OF NEWFOUNDLAND LATE ON TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. NOEL IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL STORM
OVERNIGHT...AND BECOME EXTRATROPICAL ON TUESDAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 230 MILES...370 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 986 MB...29.12 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 5 PM AST POSITION...39.3 N... 50.3 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 75 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 986 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 PM AST.

FORECASTER FRANKLIN




000
WTNT35 KNHC 052055
TCPAT5
BULLETIN COR
HURRICANE MICHELLE ADVISORY NUMBER 29
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
4 PM EST MON NOV 05 2001
CORRECTION TO TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS FOR THE BAHAMAS...ADD GRAND
BAHAMA ISLAND.

...MICHELLE MOVING AWAY FROM BAHAMAS...SLOWLY WEAKENING...

THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS WILL DISCONTINUE ALL HURRICANE
WARNINGS FOR THE CENTRAL AND NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS AT 5 PM EST...2200
UTC. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING WILL BE IN EFFECT FOR THE ISLANDS OF
ABACO AND ELEUTHERA AND GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND

AT 4 PM EST...THE GOVERNMENT OF BERMUDA CHANGED THEIR HURRICANE
WATCH TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING.

THE GALE WARNING IS DISCONTINUED ON THE FLORIDA EAST COAST FROM
COCOA BEACH SOUTHWARD TO JUPITER INLET. ALL WARNINGS ARE
DISCONTINUED FOR SOUTH FLORIDA. MARINE INTERESTS SHOULD
EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS SLOLY SUBSIDE.

AT 4 PM EST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MICHELLE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 25.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 75.4 WEST OR ABOUT 145 MILES
...230 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF NASSAU IN THE BAHAMAS. THIS POSITION
IS ALSO ABOUT 790 MILES...1270 KM...WEST-SOUTHWEST OF BERMUDA.

MICHELLE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 21 MPH...33 KM/HR...
AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 230 MILES...370 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 980 MB...28.94 INCHES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING IN PORTIONS OF THE BAHAMAS IS EXPECTED TO
GRADUALLY SUBSIDE.

REPEATING THE 4 PM EST POSITION...25.9 N... 75.4 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 21 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 75 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 980 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 7 PM EST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 10 PM EST.

FORECASTER LAWRENCE