Tropical Depression Fourteen

Forecast Advisory 9

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000
WTNT34 KNHC 161438
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN ADVISORY NUMBER 9
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT WED OCT 16 2002

...DEPRESSION INLAND OVER CENTRAL CUBA...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES
OF CIENFUEGOS...VILLA CLARA...SANCTI SPIRITUS...AND CIEGO DE AVILA.
SOME OR ALL OF THE WARNING AREA FOR CUBA WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED
LATER TODAY.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING ISLANDS
IN THE BAHAMAS...ANDROS ISLAND...BERRY ISLANDS...ELEUTHERA...NEW
PROVIDENCE...CAT ISLAND...THE EXUMAS...LONG ISLAND...RUM CAY...AND
SAN SALVADOR.

AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN
WAS LOCATED INLAND OVER CENTRAL CUBA NEAR LATITUDE 22.3 NORTH...
LONGITUDE 80.2 WEST OR ABOUT 20 MILES...30 KM...NORTHEAST OF
CIENFUEGOS.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 17 MPH
...27 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE WITH A GRADUAL
INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS IS STILL POSSIBLE ALONG THE SOUTH COAST OF CUBA TODAY.

RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER
AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE DEPRESSION.

REPEATING THE 11 AM EDT POSITION...22.3 N... 80.2 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 17 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM EDT.

FORECASTER STEWART