Hurricane Isidore

Forecast Advisory 2



000
WTNT35 KNHC 150236
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 PM AST SAT SEP 14 2002

...WEAK DEPRESSION OVER NORTHEASTERN VENEZUELA...

AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
TEN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 10.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 63.3 WEST OR
ABOUT 245 MILES...390 KM...EAST OF CARACAS VENEZUELA.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 22 MPH...35 KM/HR...
AND A TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED ON SUNDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH... 45 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS AS THE DEPRESSION INTERACTS WITH LAND.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1009 MB...29.80 INCHES.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY RAINS ARE
MOVING OVER THE LESSER ANTILLES IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE DEPRESSION.
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO IMPROVE BY MIDDAY TOMORROW AS THE SYSTEM
MOVES AWAY FROM THE AREA.

REPEATING THE 11 PM AST POSITION...10.4 N... 63.3 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 22 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 30 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
5 AM AST...SUNDAY.

FORECASTER BLAKE/LAWRENCE