Hurricane Isidore

Forecast Advisory 6

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000
WTNT35 KNHC 171445
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT TUE SEP 17 2002

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION REGENERATES SOUTH OF JAMAICA...

REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT
INDICATE THAT THE TROPICAL WAVE SOUTH OF JAMAICA HAS REACQUIRED A
CLOSED CIRCULATION AND IS NOW A TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 77.2 WEST OR ABOUT
145 MILES...230 KM...SOUTH OF KINGSTON JAMAICA.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 9 MPH
...15 KM/HR. A TURN TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS. MOST OF THE STRONGEST WINDS WITH THE DEPRESSION ARE
LOCATED WELL TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER...AND GUSTS TO
TROPICAL STORM FORCE MAY SPREAD OVER JAMAICA OVER THE NEXT DAY OR
SO.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT
RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS 1009 MB...29.80 INCHES.

HEAVY RAINS ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD OVER JAMAICA OVER THE NEXT 24
HOURS...AND THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS
AND MUD SLIDES.

REPEATING THE 11 AM EDT POSITION...15.9 N... 77.2 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 PM EDT.

FORECASTER FRANKLIN