Hurricane Isidore
Forecast Advisory 13
000
WTNT31 KNHC 190828
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM JOSEPHINE ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT THU SEP 19 2002
...JOSEPHINE MOVING RAPIDLY NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE FAR NORTH
ATLANTIC OCEAN...ONLY A THREAT TO SHIPPING...
AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JOSEPHINE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 40.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 46.1 WEST OR ABOUT
535 MILES...860 KM...CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND.
JOSEPHINE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 29 MPH
...46 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR
THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH A FURTHER INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. ON THIS
TRACK...JOSEPHINE IS FORECAST TO MERGE WITH A FRONTAL SYSTEM WELL TO
THE EAST OF NEWFOUNDLAND LATER TODAY OR EARLY FRIDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH... 65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS. HOWEVER...JOSEPHINE SHOULD BEGIN TO LOSE ITS TROPICAL
CHARACTERISTICS LATER TODAY AS IT BEGINS TO INTERACT AND EVENTUALLY
MERGE WITH A FRONTAL SYSTEM.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES
...140 KM IN THE EASTERN SEMICIRCLE.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1009 MB...29.80 INCHES.
REPEATING THE 5 AM EDT POSITION...40.8 N... 46.1 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 29 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
AT 11 AM EDT.
FORECASTER STEWART
000
WTNT35 KNHC 190834
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ISIDORE ADVISORY NUMBER 13
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT THU SEP 19 2002
...ISIDORE STRENGTHENING...HEADED FOR WESTERN CUBA....
AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF JAMAICA HAS DISCONTINUED THE
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR JAMAICA.
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR CENTRAL AND WESTERN CUBA FOR
THE PROVINCES OF CIENFUEGOS...VILLA CLARA...MATANZAS...CIUDAD DE LA
HABANA...LA HABANA AND PINAR DEL RIO...INCLUDING THE ISLE OF YOUTH.
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR SANCTI-SPIRITUS AND CIEGO DE
AVILA.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.
AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM
ISIDORE WAS LOCATED BY A HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE NEAR LATITUDE 20.0
NORTH...LONGITUDE 80.8 WEST OR ABOUT 65 MILES...105 KM...NORTHEAST OF
GRAND CAYMAN.
ISIDORE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH
...19 KM/HR...AND A WEST-NORTHWEST TO NORTHWESTWARD MOTION AT ABOUT
THE SAME SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS
TRACK...ISIDORE WILL BE APPROACHING WESTERN CUBA LATER TODAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 65 MPH...100
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. FURTHER STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING
THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND ISIDORE COULD BECOME A HURRICANE LATER TODAY.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES
...185 KM FROM THE CENTER.
THE HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE REPORTED THAT THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE
IS NOW 990 MB...29.23 INCHES.
RAINS ARE DIMINISHING OVER JAMAICA....HOWEVER HEAVY RAINS SHOULD
SPREAD OVER PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND WESTERN CUBA TODAY...AND OUTER
RAINBANDS COULD AFFECT THE FLORIDA KEYS LATE TODAY.
REPEATING THE 5 AM EDT POSITION...20.0 N... 80.8 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 65 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 990 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 AM EDT.
FORECASTER PASCH
