Hurricane Isidore
Forecast Advisory 21
000
WTNT32 KNHC 210837
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
SUBTROPICAL STORM KYLE ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT SAT SEP 21 2002
...SUBTROPICAL STORM KYLE FORMS IN THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC OCEAN...
AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF SUBTROPICAL STORM KYLE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.8 NORTH... LONGITUDE 51.6 WEST OR ABOUT
780 MILES...1250 KM...EAST OF BERMUDA.
THE STORM IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 9 MPH ...15
KM/HR...HOWEVER...THE STORM IS EXPECTED TO SLOW DOWN OVER THE NEXT
12 TO 24 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH... 65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
WINDS OF 40 MPH EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES.
REPEATING THE 5 AM EDT POSITION...30.8 N... 51.6 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 AM EDT.
FORECASTER JARVINEN/BROWN
000
WTNT35 KNHC 210858
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
HURRICANE ISIDORE ADVISORY NUMBER 21
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT SAT SEP 21 2002
...ISIDORE SLOWLY MOVING AWAY FROM CUBA BUT LIFE-THREATENING HEAVY
RAINS CONTINUE THERE...THE NEXT THREAT IS TO THE NORTH COAST OF THE
YUCATAN PENINSULA...
AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A
HURRICANE WARNING FROM CABO CATOCHE TO PROGRESSO ON THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN
EFFECT FROM TULUM TO CABO CATOCHE...INCLUDING THE ISLAND OF COZUMEL.
AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS DOWNGRADED THE
HURRICANE WARNING TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE WESTERN CUBA
PROVINCES OF MATANZAS...CIUDAD DE LA HABANA...LA HABANA AND PINAR
DEL RIO...INCLUDING THE ISLE OF YOUTH.
AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ISIDORE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 22.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.5 WEST OR ABOUT 50
MILES...75 KM...NORTHWEST OF CABO SAN ANTONIO ON THE WESTERN TIP OF
CUBA. THIS POSITION IS ALSO ABOUT 120 MILES...190
KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF CABO CATOCHE ON THE NORTHEAST TIP OF THE
YUCATAN PENINSULA.
ISIDORE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH
...11 KM/HR...AND MOSTLY WESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF ISIDORE WILL MOVE NEAR THE
NORTH COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 100 MPH...160 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR STRENGTHENING DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES... 35 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 145 MILES...230 KM.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 964 MB...28.47 INCHES.
ALTHOUGH THE CENTER OF ISIDORE IS MOVING AWAY FROM CUBA...EXTREMELY
HEAVY RAINFALL AMOUNTS...UP T0 20 TO 30 INCHES...ARE STILL POSSIBLE
OVER PORTIONS OF WESTERN CUBA.
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING ALONG THE SOUTH COAST OF CUBA...ALONG
WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...ARE EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY
DIMINISH TODAY.
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING AS HIGH AS 4 TO 8 FEET ABOVE NORMAL
TIDE LEVELS IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN ALONG THE NORTH COAST OF THE
YUCATAN PENINSULA DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
REPEATING THE 5 AM EDT POSITION...22.4 N... 85.5 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...100 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 964 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 AM EDT.
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
