Hurricane Isidore
Forecast Advisory 26
000
WTNT35 KNHC 221430
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
HURRICANE ISIDORE ADVISORY NUMBER 26
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
10 AM CDT SUN SEP 22 2002
...ISIDORE SKIRTING THE NORTHERN YUCATAN COAST AS A STRONG
CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE...
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE GULF OF MEXICO AND
CARIBBEAN COASTS OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM CAMPECHE NORTH AND
EASTWARD TO TULUM...INCLUDING THE ISLAND OF COZUMEL.
AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS DISCONTINUED ALL
WARNINGS FOR CUBA.
AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF MAJOR HURRICANE ISIDORE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 88.5 WEST OR ABOUT
15 MILES...25 KM...NORTH OF THE NORTHERN COAST OF THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA. THIS IS ALSO ABOUT 85 MILES...135 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST
OF PROGRESO MEXICO.
ISIDORE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH
...13 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR
THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER WILL COME VERY
CLOSE TO THE NORTH COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA LATER TODAY AND
MAY MOVE ONSHORE...BRINGING THE CORE OF THE HURRICANE AND THE
STRONGEST WINDS WITH IT.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 125 MPH...205 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS...IF THE CENTER REMAINS OFFSHORE...AND ISIDORE COULD BECOME
A CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE LATER TODAY.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 50 MILES... 85 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 200 MILES...325 KM.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE BASED ON THE LATEST PRESSURE
MEASURED BY RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS 934 MB...27.58 INCHES.
SOME HEAVY RAIN IS STILL POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF WESTERN CUBA AND
THE ISLE OF YOUTH AS STRONG SQUALLS MOVE ACROSS THIS AREA. VERY
HEAVY RAIN IS ALSO AFFECTING THE NORTHERN PORTION OF THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA AND RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 10 TO 20 INCHES ARE LIKELY.
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING ALONG THE NORTH COAST OF THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA IS EXPECTED TO REACH 2 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS
ALONG WITH BATTERING WAVES. STORM SURGE FLOODING COULD INCREASE TO
8 TO 12 FEET ABOVE NORMAL...IF...AND WHERE...THE CENTER MOVES
ONSHORE.
REPEATING THE 10 AM CDT POSITION...21.8 N... 88.5 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-SOUTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...125 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 934 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 1 PM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 4 PM CDT.
FORECASTER STEWART
000
WTNT32 KNHC 221434
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
SUBTROPICAL STORM KYLE ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT SUN SEP 22 2002
...KYLE STILL SUBTROPICAL...
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF SUBTROPICAL STORM
KYLE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 33.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 49.9 WEST OR
ABOUT 860 MILES...1385 KM...EAST OF BERMUDA.
KYLE IS NEARLY STATIONARY AND LITTLE MOTION IS EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH... 75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS.
WINDS OF 40 MPH EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.
REPEATING THE 11 AM EDT POSITION...33.0 N... 49.9 W. MOVEMENT
...STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 45 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
5 PM EDT.
FORECASTER AVILA
000
WTNT33 KNHC 221446
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT SUN SEP 22 2002
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION MOVING RAPIDLY WESTWARD WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN
STRENGTH...
WATCHES OF WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE LESSER
ANTILLES LATER TODAY.
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE POORLY DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL
DEPRESSION THIRTEEN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.0 NORTH...
LONGITUDE 52.0 WEST OR ABOUT 525 MILES...850 KM...EAST OF THE
WINDWARD ISLANDS.
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 23 MPH
...37 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. THE DEPRESSION HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM
DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES.
REPEATING THE 11 AM EDT POSITION...12.0 N... 52.0 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 23 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
5 PM EDT.
FORECASTER AVILA
