Hurricane Isidore
Forecast Advisory 27
000
WTNT33 KNHC 222036
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM AST SUN SEP 22 2002
...DEPRESSION MOVING RAPIDLY WESTWARD TOWARD THE LESSER ANTILLES...
AT 5 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE RESPECTIVE GOVERNMENTS OF THE CARIBBEAN
ISLANDS HAVE ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE LESSER ANTILLES
FROM GUADELOUPE SOUTHWARD TO THE GRENADINES INCLUDING BARBADOS. A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
THIRTEEN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 54.0 WEST
OR ABOUT 395 MILES...635 KM...EAST OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS.
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 23 MPH
...37 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR
THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK THE TROPICAL CYLONE WILL BE MOVING
OVER THE LESSER ANTILLES ON MONDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS. HOWEVER BECAUSE OF THE POSSIBILITY THAT THE DEPRESSION
MIGHT STRENGTHEN SLIGHTLY BEFORE REACHING THE LESSER ANTILLES...A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS BEING ISSUED FOR A PORTION OF THESE ISLANDS.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.
HEAVY SHOWERS AND SQUALLS SHOULD BEGIN TO AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE
LESSER ANTILLES EARLY MONDAY.
REPEATING THE 5 PM AST POSITION...12.1 N... 54.0 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 23 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 PM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 PM AST.
FORECASTER AVILA/PASCH
000
WTNT32 KNHC 222042
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM KYLE ADVISORY NUMBER 9
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT SUN SEP 22 2002
...KYLE ACQUIRES TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS...
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KYLE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 33.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 49.5 WEST OR ABOUT 875
MILES...1400 KM...EAST OF BERMUDA.
KYLE IS STATIONARY AND LITTLE MOTION IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 12
TO 24 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH... 75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES
...110 KM MAINLY TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.
REPEATING THE 5 PM EDT POSITION...33.2 N... 49.5 W. MOVEMENT
...STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 45 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
11 PM EDT.
FORECASTER AVILA
000
WTNT35 KNHC 222059
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
HURRICANE ISIDORE ADVISORY NUMBER 27
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
4 PM CDT SUN SEP 22 2002
...EYEWALL OF POWERFUL HURRICANE ISIDORE BATTERING THE YUCATAN
COAST...MOVING TOWARD PROGRESO MEXICO...
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE GULF OF MEXICO AND
CARIBBEAN COASTS OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM CAMPECHE NORTH AND
EASTWARD TO TULUM...INCLUDING THE ISLAND OF COZUMEL.
AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF MAJOR HURRICANE ISIDORE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 89.2 WEST OR ABOUT
35 MILES...55 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF PROGRESO MEXICO.
ISIDORE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS OR SO.
ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF ISIDORE SHOULD TRACK ALONG THE
NORTHWEST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 125 MPH...205 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS. A HAM RADIO REPORT INDICATED SUSTAINED WINDS OF 70 MPH
WITH GUSTS TO 90 MPH NEAR MERIDA DURING THE PAST COUPLE OF HOURS.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 50 MILES... 85 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 230 MILES...370 KM.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 934 MB...27.58 INCHES.
SOME HEAVY RAIN IS STILL POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF WESTERN CUBA AND
THE ISLE OF YOUTH AS STRONG SQUALLS MOVE ACROSS THIS AREA. VERY
HEAVY RAIN IS ALSO AFFECTING THE NORTHERN PORTION OF THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA AND RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 10 TO 20 INCHES ARE LIKELY.
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING ALONG THE NORTH COAST OF THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA IS EXPECTED TO REACH 8 TO 12 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS
ALONG WITH BATTERING WAVES. HAM RADIO REPORTS INDICATE SOME COASTAL
FLOODING AND DAMAGE TO HOMES HAVE OCCURRED NEAR MERIDA AND CHELEM ON
THE NORTHWEST YUCATAN COAST.
REPEATING THE 4 PM CDT POSITION...21.5 N... 89.2 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...125 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 934 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 7 PM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 10 PM CDT.
FORECASTER STEWART
