Hurricane Isidore
Forecast Advisory 31
000
WTNT33 KNHC 232035
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM LILI ADVISORY NUMBER 10
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM AST MON SEP 23 2002
...TROPICAL STORM LILI BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED AS IT MOVES
ACROSS THE WINDWARD ISLANDS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN LESSER
ANTILLES FROM ST. LUCIA SOUTHWARD TO GRENADA AND ITS ISLAND
DEPENDENCIES...AND ALSO FOR BARBADOS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL LESSER
ANTILLES FROM GUADELOUPE SOUTHWARD TO MARTINIQUE.
AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LILI WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 61.2 WEST OR ABOUT
15 MILES...25 KM...EAST OF THE GRENADINE ISLANDS.
LILI IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 20 MPH...32 KM/HR...AND THIS
GENERAL WEST OR WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION AT A SLIGHTLY SLOWER
FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS
TRACK...TROPICAL STORM LILI WILL MOVE ACROSS THE WINDWARD ISLANDS
LATER TONIGHT AND EMERGE OVER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA BY TUESDAY
MORNING.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH... 95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...
BUT LILI IS NOT EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE BEFORE IT MOVES
THROUGH THE WINDWARD ISLANDS TONIGHT. DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS...
WINDS GUSTS TO 75 MPH HAVE OCCURRED AT BARBADOS AND GUSTS TO 54 MPH
HAVE BEEN REPORTED AT ST. LUCIA.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES
...165 KM FROM THE CENTER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL OF 4 TO 6 INCHES...WITH GREATER AMOUNTS OVER
HIGHER TERRAIN...IS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE WINDWARD ISLANDS AND
BARBADOS TONIGHT.
REPEATING THE 5 PM AST POSITION...12.6 N... 61.2 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 20 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 60 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 PM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 PM AST.
FORECASTER STEWART
000
WTNT32 KNHC 232035
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM KYLE ADVISORY NUMBER 13
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT MON SEP 23 2002
...KYLE MOVING SLOWLY SOUTHWARD OVER THE OPEN ATLANTIC...ONLY A
THREAT TO SHIPPING INTERESTS...
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KYLE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 49.7 WEST OR ABOUT
875 MILES...1410 KM...EAST OF BERMUDA.
KYLE IS MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH... 7 KM/HR...
AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS. HOWEVER...SOME ERRATIC MOTION IS POSSIBLE DUE TO WEAK
STEERING CURRENTS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH... 75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES
...110 KM FROM THE CENTER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES.
REPEATING THE 5 PM EDT POSITION...31.8 N... 49.7 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 45 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
AT 11 PM EDT.
FORECASTER STEWART
000
WTNT35 KNHC 232037
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ISIDORE ADVISORY NUMBER 31
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
4 PM CDT MON SEP 23 2002
...ISIDORE CONTINUES SLOW MOTION OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF
MEXICO...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE GULF COAST OF
MEXICO FROM CABO CATOCHE TO VERACRUZ.
INTERESTS ALONG THE NORTHERN COAST OF THE GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ISIDORE.
AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ISIDORE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 89.4 WEST OR ABOUT
50 MILES...80 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF MERIDA MEXICO.
ISIDORE IS CURRENTLY DRIFTING NORTHEASTWARD. THE STORM IS EXPECTED
TO BEGIN A NORTHWESTWARD MOTION TONIGHT. THIS MOTION COULD BRING
THE CENTER BACK OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO EARLY TUESDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH... 85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. FURTHER WEAKENING IS FORECAST WHILE THE CENTER REMAINS OVER
LAND. HOWEVER...ISIDORE IS LIKELY TO STRENGTHEN AGAIN WHEN THE
CENTER REACHES THE GULF OF MEXICO.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES
...280 KM FROM THE CENTER.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 968 MB...28.59 INCHES.
VERY HEAVY RAINS CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...OTHER
PORTIONS OF EASTERN MEXICO...AND THE NORTHERN PORTIONS OF GUATEMALA
AND BELIZE. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 10 TO 15 INCHES ARE
LIKELY.
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS ALONG WITH BATTERING WAVES CONTINUES IN AREAS OF ONSHORE
WINDS OVER THE NORTHWEST YUCATAN PENINSULA. ONSHORE WINDS WILL
PRODUCE STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ELSEWHERE
ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM CAMPECHE WESTWARD TO NEAR VERACRUZ.
TIDES ARE RUNNING 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ALONG MUCH OF THE
REMAINDER OF THE GULF COAST...AND THIS COMBINED WITH LARGE SWELLS
GENERATED BY ISIDORE MAY CAUSE SOME COASTAL FLOODING AND BEACH
EROSION.
REPEATING THE 4 PM CDT POSITION...20.3 N... 89.4 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...DRIFTING NORTHEASTWARD. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 50 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 968 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 7 PM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 10 PM CDT.
FORECASTER BEVEN
