Hurricane Kyle

Forecast Advisory 82

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000
WTNT32 KNHC 110230
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION KYLE ADVISORY NUMBER 82
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT THU OCT 10 2002

...KYLE ORGANIZING...TROPICAL STORM WARNING ISSUED...

AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM
NORTH OF BRUNSWICK GEORGIA TO CAPE FEAR NORTH CAROLINA. A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY WITHIN
THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 24 HOURS. THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN
DISCONTINUED FROM BRUNSWICK SOUTHWARD.

SATELLITE AND RADAR IMAGERY INDICATES THAT KYLE IS BECOMING BETTER
ORGANIZED AND COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM PRIOR TO REACHING THE
COAST.

AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION KYLE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 80.4 WEST OR ABOUT 75
MILES EAST OF JACKSONVILLE FLORIDA.

KYLE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH. A
NORTHWARD MOTION AT ABOUT THIS SPEED IS EXPECTED OVERNIGHT...
FOLLOWED BY A TURN TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST LATER TOMORROW. ON THE
FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF KYLE IS EXPECTED TO REACH THE COAST
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA NEAR MIDDAY FRIDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. KYLE
COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM PRIOR TO REACHING THE COAST. AN AIR
FORCE RESERVE UNIT RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WILL BE INVESTIGATING
KYLE IN A FEW HOURS.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1009 MB...29.80 INCHES.

RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER
AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED IN ASSOCIATION WITH KYLE.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE NEAR THE GEORGIA AND SOUTH CAROLINA
COASTS.

REPEATING THE 11 PM EDT POSITION...30.3 N... 80.4 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 AM EDT...FRIDAY.

FORECASTER FRANKLIN