Hurricane Lili

Forecast Advisory 7



000
WTNT32 KNHC 230820
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM KYLE ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT MON SEP 23 2002

...KYLE DRIFTING WEST-SOUTHWEST...

AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KYLE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 32.9 NORTH... LONGITUDE 49.8 WEST OR ABOUT 870
MILES...1400 KM...EAST OF BERMUDA.

KYLE IS DRIFTING TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH ... 7
KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH... 65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES
...110 KM FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 5 AM EDT POSITION...32.9 N... 49.8 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-SOUTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 AM EDT.

FORECASTER JARVINEN




000
WTNT35 KNHC 230841
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
HURRICANE ISIDORE ADVISORY NUMBER 29
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
4 AM CDT MON SEP 23 2002

...ISIDORE CONTINUES TO WEAKEN OVER LAND...

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE COAST OF THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA OF MEXICO FROM CABO CATOCHE TO CAMPECHE. A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM CAMPECHE
WESTWARD TO VERACRUZ.

AT 4 AM CDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ISIDORE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 20.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 89.8 WEST. THIS POSITION IS
OVER LAND ABOUT 40 MILES...60 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MERIDA MEXICO.

ISIDORE IS DRIFTING TOWARD THE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH...7
KM/HR. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED IN THE NEXT 24
HOURS. ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER IS EXPECTED TO MOVE BACK OVER WATER
LATER TODAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 75 MPH...120
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ISODORE COULD FALL BELOW HURRICANE
STRENGTH THIS MORNING WHILE STILL OVER LAND. AFTER ISIDORE MOVES
BACK OVER WATER...STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES... 45 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 200 MILES...325 KM.

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY RECONNAISSANCE
AIRCRAFT IS 954 MB...28.17 INCHES.

VERY HEAVY RAINS ARE AFFECTING THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AND OTHER
PORTIONS OF EASTERN MEXICO. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 10 TO 20 INCHES ARE
LIKELY.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 6 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS ALONG WITH BATTERING WAVES CONTINUES IN AREAS OF ONSHORE
WINDS OVER THE NORTHWEST YUCATAN PENINSULA. ONSHORE WINDS WILL
PRODUCE STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ELSEWHERE
ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM CAMPECHE WESTWARD TO NEAR VERACRUZ.

REPEATING THE 4 AM CDT POSITION...20.4 N... 89.8 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 75 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 954 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 7 AM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 10 AM CDT.

FORECASTER LAWRENCE




000
WTNT33 KNHC 230844
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM AST MON SEP 23 2002

...DEPRESSION NEARING THE WINDWARD ISLANDS...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE LESSER ANTILLES
FROM GUADELOUPE SOUTHWARD TO THE GRENADINES INCLUDING BARBADOS. A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.7 NORTH... LONGITUDE 58.4 WEST OR ABOUT 90
MILES...140 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 23 MPH ...37
KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS. ON THIS TRACK THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE MOVING OVER THE
LESSER ANTILLES LATER TODAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. THE SYSTEM COULD DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL STORM AT ANY TIME.
A RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WILL INVESTIGATE THE DEPRESSION LATER THIS
MORNING.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.

SHOWERS AND SQUALLS WITH GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE WILL BEGIN
AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE LESSER ANTILLES LATER TODAY.

REPEATING THE 5 AM AST POSITION...12.7 N... 58.4 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 23 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 AM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 AM AST.

FORECASTER JARVINEN/BROWN