Hurricane Lili

Forecast Advisory 11



000
WTNT32 KNHC 240232
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM KYLE ADVISORY NUMBER 14
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT MON SEP 23 2002

...KYLE MOVING SOUTHWEST...

AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KYLE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 31.3 NORTH... LONGITUDE 50.3 WEST OR ABOUT 840
MILES...1350 KM...EAST OF BERMUDA.

KYLE IS MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH ... 9 KM/HR...AND
THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH... 75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 185 MILES
...295 KM FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 11 PM EDT POSITION...31.3 N... 50.3 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...SOUTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 45 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 AM EDT...TUESDAY.

FORECASTER JARVINEN




000
WTNT35 KNHC 240234
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ISIDORE ADVISORY NUMBER 32
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
10 PM CDT MON SEP 23 2002

...ISIDORE STILL STATIONARY AND BARELY A TROPICAL STORM BUT LIKELY
TO START MOVING VERY SOON...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE GULF COAST OF
MEXICO FROM CABO CATOCHE TO VERACRUZ.

INTERESTS ALONG THE NORTHERN COAST OF THE GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ISIDORE.

AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM
ISIDORE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 89.3 WEST
OR ABOUT 40 MILES...65 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF MERIDA MEXICO.

ISIDORE REMAINS NEARLY STATIONARY. HOWEVER A SLOW NORTHWESTWARD
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN VERY SOON...BRINGING THE CENTER BACK
INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO ON TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH... 65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. FURTHER WEAKENING IS LIKELY AS LONG AS THE CENTER REMAINS
OVER LAND...BUT ISIDORE SHOULD BEGIN TO STRENGTHEN AFTER IT MOVES
OVER WATER.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES
...280 KM FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 980 MB...28.94 INCHES.

VERY HEAVY RAINS CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...OTHER
PORTIONS OF EASTERN MEXICO...AND THE NORTHERN PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
AMERICA. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 10 TO 15 INCHES ARE
LIKELY.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS
IS LIKELY IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS OVER THE NORTHWEST YUCATAN
PENINSULA AND ELSEWHERE ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM CAMPECHE
WESTWARD TO NEAR VERACRUZ. TIDES ARE RUNNING 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE
NORMAL ALONG MUCH OF THE REMAINDER OF THE GULF COAST...AND THIS
COMBINED WITH LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY ISIDORE MAY CAUSE SOME
COASTAL FLOODING AND BEACH EROSION.

REPEATING THE 10 PM CDT POSITION...20.5 N... 89.3 W. MOVEMENT
...STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 980 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 1 AM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 4 AM CDT...TUESDAY.

FORECASTER PASCH



000
WTNT33 KNHC 240249
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM LILI ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 PM AST MON SEP 23 2002

AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...ALL TROPICAL STORM WATCHES AND WARNINGS FOR
THE LESSER ANTILLES ARE DISCONTINUED. ALL INTERESTS IN THE LESSER
ANTILLES ARE URGED TO EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE.

AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LILI WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 12.7 NORTH... LONGITUDE 62.7 WEST OR ABOUT 95
MILES...150 KM...WEST OF THE GRENADINE ISLANDS.

LILI IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 17 MPH ...28 KM/HR...AND A
GENERAL WEST TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION AT A SLIGHTLY SLOWER SPEED
IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...TROPICAL
STORM LILI WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE THROUGH THE LESSER ANTILLES TONIGHT
AND INTO THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA ON TUESDAY MORNING.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH... 95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES
...165 KM FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.

LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL OF 4 TO 6 INCHES...WITH GREATER AMOUNTS OVER
HIGHER TERRAIN...IS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE WINDWARD ISLANDS AND
BARBADOS TONIGHT.

REPEATING THE 11 PM AST POSITION...12.7 N... 62.7 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 17 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 60 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 AM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 AM AST...TUESDAY.

FORECASTER JARVINEN/KNABB