Hurricane Lili

Forecast Advisory 13



000
WTNT35 KNHC 241434
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ISIDORE ADVISORY NUMBER 34
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
10 AM CDT TUE SEP 24 2002

...ISIDORE MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD...WATCHES AND WARNINGS
ISSUED FOR THE NORTHERN GULF COAST...

AT 10 AM CDT...1500 UTC...A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT ALONG
THE NORTHERN GULF COAST FROM CAMERON LOUISIANA TO PASCAGOULA
MISSISSIPPI. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA DURING THE NEXT 36 HOURS.

ALSO AT 10 AM CDT...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM
EAST OF HIGH ISLAND TEXAS TO DESTIN FLORIDA. A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING MEANS TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE WARNING
AREA DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE GULF COAST OF
MEXICO FROM CABO CATOCHE TO VERACRUZ.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE NORTHERN COAST OF THE GULF OF MEXICO
SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ISIDORE.

AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ISIDORE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 90.0 WEST OR ABOUT
80 MILES...130 KM...NORTH-NORTHWEST OF MERIDA MEXICO. THIS IS ALSO
ABOUT 485 MILES...785 KM...SOUTH OF THE LOUISIANA COAST.

ISIDORE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH
...13 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE
NEXT 25 HOURS. THIS MOTION SHOULD TAKE THE CENTER AWAY FROM THE
YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO TODAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH... 95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

ISIDORE IS A LARGE STORM WITH TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTENDING
OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES...325 KM FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 987 MB...29.15 INCHES.

BANDS OF HEAVY RAINS CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AND
OTHER PORTIONS OF EASTERN MEXICO. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5
TO 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE BEFORE THE BANDS MOVE OFFSHORE LATER
TODAY AND TONIGHT. BANDS OF HEAVY RAIN MAY ALSO SPREAD ONTO
PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN GULF COAST LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS
IS LIKELY IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS OVER THE NORTHWEST YUCATAN
PENINSULA AND ELSEWHERE ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM CAMPECHE
WESTWARD TO NEAR VERACRUZ. THESE TIDES SHOULD DIMINISH LATER
TODAY. TIDES ARE RUNNING 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ALONG MUCH OF
THE REMAINDER OF THE GULF COAST...AND THIS COMBINED WITH LARGE
SWELLS GENERATED BY ISIDORE MAY CAUSE SOME COASTAL FLOODING AND
BEACH EROSION.

REPEATING THE 10 AM CDT POSITION...22.1 N... 90.0 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 60 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 987 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 1 PM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 4 PM CDT.

FORECASTER BEVEN




000
WTNT32 KNHC 241446
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM KYLE ADVISORY NUMBER 16
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT TUE SEP 24 2002

...KYLE GETTING STRONGER OVER THE OPEN ATLANTIC...

AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KYLE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 51.1 WEST OR ABOUT
815 MILES...1310 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA.

KYLE IS MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR...
AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT
24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH... 85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND
KYLE COULD BECOME A HURRICANE BY WEDNESDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 185 MILES
...295 KM FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 11 AM EDT POSITION...30.3 N... 51.1 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...SOUTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 50 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 PM EDT.

FORECASTER STEWART




000
WTNT33 KNHC 241451
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM LILI ADVISORY NUMBER 13
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM AST TUE SEP 24 2002

...LILI GETTING STRONGER OVER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA...

AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC HAS
ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THEIR SOUTHERN COAST FROM PUNTA
PALENQUE...LOCATED SOUTHWEST OF SANTO DOMINGO...WESTWARD TO THE
HAITI BORDER.

A HURRICANE WATCH WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED FOR HAITI LATER TODAY.

AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LILI WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 65.6 WEST OR
ABOUT 455 MILES...735 KM...SOUTHEAST OF SANTO DOMINGO.

LILI IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 16 MPH...26 KM/HR...AND
THIS GENERAL MOTION SHOULD CONTINUE TODAY WITH A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD
THE WEST-NORTHWEST EXPECTED BY TONIGHT OR EARLY WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND
LILI COULD BECOME A HURRICANE BY EARLY WEDNESDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 125 MILES
...205 KM FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 11 AM AST POSITION...13.2 N... 65.6 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 16 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 70 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 PM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM AST.

FORECASTER STEWART