Hurricane Lili

Forecast Advisory 23



000
WTNT33 KNHC 270850
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION LILI ADVISORY NUMBER 23
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT FRI SEP 27 2002

...LILI STILL POORLY ORGANIZED...BUT FORECAST TO BECOME STRONGER...

AT 5 AM EDT...0900 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF JAMAICA HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR JAMAICA.

ALL INTERESTS ALONG THE SOUTHERN COAST OF HAITI...AND THE SOUTHEAST
COAST OF CUBA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF LILI.

AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE POORLY DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL
DEPRESSION LILI WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE
75.1 WEST OR ABOUT 160 MILES...255 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF KINGSTON
JAMAICA.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH
...17 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE
NEXT 12 HOURS WITH A GRADUAL DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. AN AIR FORCE PLANE WILL BE IN THE AREA IN A FEW HOURS TO
CHECK IF LILI HAS REGAINED TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.

LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS...POSSIBLY TO NEAR
TROPICAL STORM FORCE...MAY AFFECT PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN HAITI TODAY.

REPEATING THE 5 AM EDT POSITION...16.1 N... 75.1 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 AM EDT.

FORECASTER AVILA



000
WTNT32 KNHC 270852
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
HURRICANE KYLE ADVISORY NUMBER 27
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM AST FRI SEP 27 2002

...KYLE MOVING SLOWLY SOUTHWESTWARD OVER THE OPEN ATLANTIC...

AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KYLE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 27.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 60.2 WEST OR ABOUT 460 MILES...740
KM...SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA.

KYLE IS MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH ... 7 KM/HR...AND
THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 85 MPH...140 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES... 55 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 140 MILES...220 KM FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 980 MB...28.94 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 5 AM AST POSITION...27.0 N... 60.2 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...SOUTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 85 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 980 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 AM AST.

FORECASTER AVILA/COBB