Hurricane Lili

Forecast Advisory 25

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000
WTNT32 KNHC 272030
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
HURRICANE KYLE ADVISORY NUMBER 29
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM AST FRI SEP 27 2002

...KYLE CREEPING ALONG...AND BEGINNING TO WEAKEN...

AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE
KYLE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.9 NORTH...
LONGITUDE 60.9 WEST OR ABOUT 440 MILES...710 KM...
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA.

KYLE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST NEAR 3 MPH
... 6 KM/HR...AND A SLOW MOTION TO THE WEST OR WEST-SOUTHWEST IS
EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND
KYLE COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM TOMORROW.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES... 55 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 115 MILES...185 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 984 MB...29.06 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 5 PM AST POSITION...26.9 N... 60.9 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-SOUTHWEST NEAR 3 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 80 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 984 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 PM AST.

FORECASTER FRANKLIN





000
WTNT33 KNHC 272045
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM LILI ADVISORY NUMBER 25
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT FRI SEP 27 2002

...LILI MOVING SLOWLY NORTHWESTWARD...WATCHES ISSUED FOR CUBA...

AT 5 PM EDT...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE PROVINCES OF CAMAGUEY...LAS TUNAS...
GRANMA...AND SANTIAGO DE CUBA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA WITHIN
36 HR.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA.

TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY OCCUR ON THE SOUTHWESTERN
PENINSULA OF HAITI TONIGHT AND SATURDAY.

ALL INTERESTS IN THE CAYMAN ISLANDS AND THE REMAINDER OF CUBA
SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF LILI.

AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LILI WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 75.2 WEST OR ABOUT
125 MILES...200 KM...SOUTHEAST OF KINGSTON JAMAICA.

LILI IS MOVING ERRATICALLY TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH
...11 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS MOTION COULD BRING THE CENTER OF LILI
NEAR OR OVER JAMAICA TONIGHT OR SATURDAY. ADDITIONAL ERRATIC MOTION
COULD OCCUR TONIGHT AS THE STORM ORGANIZES.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH... 75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME SLOW STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES
...165 KM MAINLY TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.

BANDS OF HEAVY RAIN WILL SPREAD ACROSS JAMAICA AND THE SOUTHWESTERN
PENINSULA OF HAITI TONIGHT AND SATURDAY. THE RAINS COULD CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODING AND MUDSLIDES.

REPEATING THE 5 PM EDT POSITION...16.9 N... 75.2 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 45 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 PM EDT.

FORECASTER BEVEN