Hurricane Lili

Forecast Advisory 32



000
WTNT32 KNHC 291424
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM KYLE ADVISORY NUMBER 36
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM AST SUN SEP 29 2002

...TENACIOUS KYLE MOVING LITTLE...

AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KYLE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 27.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 64.8 WEST OR ABOUT 320
MILES...520 KM...SOUTH OF BERMUDA.

KYLE IS STATIONARY BUT A WEST-SOUTHWEST DRIFT IS EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH... 75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES
...220 KM MAINLY TO THE SOUTH OF THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 11 AM AST POSITION...27.7 N... 64.8 W. MOVEMENT
...STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 45 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
5 PM AST.

FORECASTER AVILA




000
WTNT33 KNHC 291429
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM LILI ADVISORY NUMBER 32
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT SUN SEP 29 2002

...LILI GETTING BETTER ORGANIZED JUST NORTH OF WESTERN JAMAICA...

AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS HAS
ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR CAYMAN BRAC AND LITTLE CAYMAN.

AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS HAS
ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR GRAND CAYMAN.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES
OF CAMAGUEY...LAS TUNAS...GRANMA...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...
GUANTANAMO... AND HOLGUIN. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN
EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF MATANZAS...CIENFUEGOS...VILLA
CLARA...SANCTI SPIRITUS AND CIEGO DE AVILA.

AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LILI WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 77.6 WEST OR ABOUT
25 MILES...40 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF MONTEGO BAY JAMAICA.

LILI IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/HR...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION WILL CONTINUE TODAY....WITH A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE
WEST-NORTHWEST EXPECTED LATER TONIGHT OR MONDAY. THERE MAY BE SOME
ERRATIC MOTION UNTIL LILI MOVES WEST OF JAMAICA LATER TONIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH... 85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES
...110 KM FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB...29.35 INCHES.

HEAVY RAINS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS JAMAICA AND GRADUALLY SPREAD OVER
PORTIONS OF EASTERN CUBA LATER TODAY. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODING AND MUD SLIDES. SEVERE FLOODING AND
MUD SLIDES HAVE ALREADY BEEN REPORTED ACROSS JAMAICA.

REPEATING THE 11 AM EDT POSITION...18.7 N... 77.6 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 50 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 994 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM EDT.

FORECASTER STEWART