Hurricane Lili
Forecast Advisory 36
000
WTNT32 KNHC 301429
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM KYLE ADVISORY NUMBER 40
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM AST MON SEP 30 2002
...KYLE MOVING LITTLE...REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED...
AT 10 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR BERMUDA.
AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE POORLY DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM
KYLE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 64.8 WEST OR
ABOUT 215 MILES...345 KM...SOUTH OF BERMUDA.
KYLE IS STATIONARY AND LITTLE MOTION IS EXPECTED TODAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH... 75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES
...220 KM MAINLY TO THE SOUTH OF THE THE CENTER. THE COMBINATION OF
KYLE AND A COLD FRONT TO THE NORTH IS PRODUCING TROPICAL STORM FORCE
GUSTS IN BERMUDA.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES.
REPEATING THE 11 AM AST POSITION...29.8 N... 64.8 W. MOVEMENT
...STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 45 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 2 PM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM
AST.
FORECASTER AVILA
000
WTNT32 KNHC 301437
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM KYLE ADVISORY NUMBER 40...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM AST MON SEP 30 2002
CORRECTED FOR WATCH TIME. IT SHOULD BE 11 AM AST
...KYLE MOVING LITTLE...REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED...
AT 11 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR BERMUDA.
AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE POORLY DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM
KYLE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 64.8 WEST OR
ABOUT 215 MILES...345 KM...SOUTH OF BERMUDA.
KYLE IS STATIONARY AND LITTLE MOTION IS EXPECTED TODAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH... 75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES
...220 KM MAINLY TO THE SOUTH OF THE THE CENTER. THE COMBINATION OF
KYLE AND A COLD FRONT TO THE NORTH IS PRODUCING TROPICAL STORM FORCE
GUSTS IN BERMUDA.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES.
REPEATING THE 11 AM AST POSITION...29.8 N... 64.8 W. MOVEMENT
...STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 45 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 2 PM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM
AST.
FORECASTER AVILA
000
WTNT33 KNHC 301443
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
HURRICANE LILI ADVISORY NUMBER 36
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT MON SEP 30 2002
...LILI BECOMES THE FOURTH HURRICANE OF THE 2002 SEASON...
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE
WARNING FOR THE PROVINCES OF MATANZAS...CIUDAD DE LA HABANA...LA
HABANA...PINAR DEL RIO AND THE ISLE OF YOUTH. A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE REST OF CUBA.
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA.
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LILI WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 19.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 80.0 WEST OR VERY NEAR THE ISLANDS
OF LITTLE CAYMAN AND CAYMAN BRAC. THIS POSITION IS ALSO ABOUT 225
MILES...360 KM...SOUTHEAST OF THE ISLE OF YOUTH.
LILI IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH
...17 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH SOME
INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 15 MILES... 30 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 105 MILES...165 KM.
THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY THE AIR FORCE HURRICANE
HUNTER AIRCRAFT WAS 986 MB...29.12 INCHES.
HEAVY RAINS CONTINUE ACROSS JAMAICA AND THE CAYMAN ISLANDS AND ARE
SPREADING OVER PORTIONS OF EASTERN CUBA. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODING AND MUD SLIDES.
REPEATING THE 11 AM EDT POSITION...19.8 N... 80.0 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 75 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 986 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM EDT.
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
