Hurricane Lili

Forecast Advisory 43

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000
WTNT32 KNHC 020819
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM KYLE ADVISORY NUMBER 47
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM AST WED OCT 02 2002

...KYLE NEARLY STATIONARY...

AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KYLE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 28.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 67.8 WEST OR ABOUT 315
MILES...510 KM...SOUTHWEST OF BERMUDA.

KYLE IS NEARLY STATIONARY AND LITTLE MOTION IS EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH... 85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 145 MILES
...230 KM FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 5 AM AST POSITION...28.5 N... 67.8 W. MOVEMENT
...STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 50 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 AM AST.

FORECASTER LAWRENCE





000
WTNT33 KNHC 020840
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
HURRICANE LILI ADVISORY NUMBER 43
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
4 AM CDT WED OCT 02 2002

...HURRICANE WARNINGS ISSUED FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO
COAST...

AT 4 AM CDT...0900Z...A HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM EAST
OF HIGH ISLAND TEXAS TO THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER.

ALSO AT 4 AM CDT...0900Z...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED
FROM FREEPORT TO HIGH ISLAND TEXAS...AND FROM EAST OF THE MOUTH OF
THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO THE ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER...INCLUDING NEW
ORLEANS AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN.

AT 4 AM CDT...0900Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE
TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE NORTH COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA
FROM COZUMEL TO PROGRESO.

AT 4 AM CDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LILI WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 24.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.9 WEST OR ABOUT 440 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF NEW ORLEANS LOUISIANA.

LILI IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH...AND A GRADUAL
TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 110 MPH...175 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LILI COULD STRENGTHEN INTO A CATEGORY 3 HURRICANE DURING THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES FROM THE
CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 185 MILES.

A NOAA AIRCRAFT REPORTED A MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 955
MB...28.20 INCHES.

RAINS OVER WESTERN CUBA ARE DIMINISHING.

REPEATING THE 4 AM CDT POSITION...24.0 N... 87.9 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...110 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 955 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 7 AM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 10 AM CDT.

FORECASTER PASCH