Hurricane Lili

Forecast Advisory 52



000
WTNT33 KNHC 040830
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION LILI ADVISORY NUMBER 52
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
4 AM CDT FRI OCT 04 2002

...LILI WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION AND HEADS FURTHER INLAND...

AT 4 AM CDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
LILI WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 34.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 90.9 WEST.
THIS POSITION IS NEAR THE ARKANSAS/MISSISSIPPI BORDER ABOUT 75 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF MEMPHIS TENNESSEE.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 21 MPH
...33 KM/HR...AND A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST WITH AN INCREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED TODAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 35 MPH WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS AS THE DEPRESSION BECOMES EXTRATROPICAL.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB...29.35 INCHES.

ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE
ALONG THE PATH OF LILI. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE DANGEROUS FLOODING.

REPEATING THE 4 AM CDT POSITION...34.3 N... 90.9 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 21 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 994 MB.

THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. FUTURE INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE
FOUND IN PUBLIC ADVISORIES ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL
PREDICTION CENTER...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPAT3 AND WMO HEADER WTNT33
KWNH...BEGINNING AT 11 AM EDT.

FORECASTER LAWRENCE




000
WTNT32 KNHC 040851
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM KYLE ADVISORY NUMBER 55
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM AST FRI OCT 04 2002

AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KYLE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 29.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 68.8 WEST OR ABOUT 300
MILES...490 KM...SOUTHWEST OF BERMUDA.

KYLE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH... 9 KM/HR...
AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH TODAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH... 65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES
...185 KM FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 5 AM AST POSITION...29.8 N... 68.8 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 AM AST.

FORECASTER LAWRENCE/HOLWEG