Tropical Storm Nine
Forecast Advisory 5
000
WTNT34 KNHC 130241
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
10 PM CDT THU SEP 12 2002
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE NEARLY STATIONARY...
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THE SUWANEE RIVER
FLORIDA WESTWARD TO JUST EAST OF PASCAGOULA MISSISSIPPI. A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING WILL LIKELY BE ISSUED EARLY FRIDAY FOR A PORTION OF
THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH AREA...AND MAY BE EXTENDED FARTHER WEST
ALONG THE GULF COAST.
AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.9 WEST OR ABOUT
270 MILES SOUTH OF PENSACOLA FLORIDA.
THE DEPRESSION IS NEARLY STATIONARY...BUT A SLOW DRIFT TO THE NORTH
IS EXPECTED TO RESUME LATER TONIGHT WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED BY EARLY FRIDAY. ON THIS TRACK...THE DEPRESSION IS
EXPECTED TO PASS WELL EAST OF THE MOUTH OF MISSISSIPPI RIVER LATE
FRIDAY NIGHT OR EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. HOWEVER...A SLIGHT DEVIATION
TO THE WEST OF THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK WILL REQUIRE TROPICAL
STORM WARNINGS FOR EXTREME SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND THE REMAINDER OF
THE MISSISSIPPI COAST.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND
THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM BY EARLY FRIDAY.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 MB...29.56 INCHES.
HEAVY RAINS ARE OCCURRING OVER PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA
...WELL TO THE EAST OF THE DEPRESSION CENTER. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS...ARE LIKELY.
LARGE WAVES AND DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE
ACROSS THE WATCH AREA LATER TONIGHT AND MAY EXTEND AS FAR WEST AS
THE SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA COAST BY LATE FRIDAY.
REPEATING THE 10 PM CDT POSITION...26.6 N... 87.9 W. MOVEMENT
...STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 1 AM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 4 AM CDT...FRIDAY.
FORECASTER STEWART
