Tropical Depression Seven
Forecast Advisory 1
000
WTNT31 KNHC 071430
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FAY ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
10 AM CDT SAT SEP 07 2002
...FAY WEAKENS AS IT MOVES INLAND...HEAVY RAIN THREAT CONTINUES...
AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...ALL WARNINGS ARE DISCONTINUED ALONG THE TEXAS
COAST. COASTAL AND MARINE INTERESTS SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL
WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE.
AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FAY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 97.3 WEST OR ABOUT 70
MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF SAN ANTONIO TEXAS.
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH AND
THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD
SPEED.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 35 MPH WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES.
HEAVY RAINFALL CONTINUES WITH ADDITIONAL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES
EXPECTED ALONG THE PATH OF THE SLOW-MOVING DEPRESSION...POSSIBLY
LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS UP TO 15 INCHES. IN ADDITION 2 TO 4 INCHES
ARE LIKELY UNDER AN OUTER RAINBAND ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF OF
MEXICO COAST INCLUDING PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN LOUISIANA AND
MISSISSIPPI.
THERE IS A RISK OF ISOLATED TORNADOES FROM NEAR THE DEPRESSION
CENTER AND EXTENDING EASTWARD ACROSS EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA.
STORM SURGE FLOODING FROM STRONG ONSHORE WINDS ALONG THE
NORTHWESTERN GULF COAST IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY SUBSIDE TODAY AND
TONIGHT.
REPEATING THE 10 AM CDT POSITION...29.2 N... 97.3 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB.
FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS
ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
FUTURE INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN PUBLIC ADVISORIES
ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER...UNDER AWIPS
HEADER TCPAT(X) AND WMO HEADER WTNT3(X) KWNH...BEGINNING AT
3 PM CDT.
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
000
WTNT32 KNHC 071438
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT SAT SEP 07 2002
...SMALL TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS OVER THE OPEN ATLANTIC...
SATELLITE IMAGES AND BUOY REPORTS INDICATE THAT THE SMALL AREA OF
LOW PRESSURE THAT HAS BEEN MOVING WESTWARD OVER THE FAR EASTERN
ATLANTIC FOR THE PAST FEW DAYS HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED AND IS
NOW TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN.
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF THE NEWLY FORMED TROPICAL
DEPRESSION WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 48.0
WEST OR ABOUT 1155 MILES...1855 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA.
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH
...13 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH
SUNDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1009 MB...29.80 INCHES.
REPEATING THE 11 AM EDT POSITION...24.6 N... 48.0 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
5 PM EDT.
FORECASTER AVILA
