Tropical Storm Bill

Forecast Advisory 5



000
WTNT33 KNHC 301440
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM BILL ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
10 AM CDT MON JUN 30 2003

...BILL APPROACHING THE LOUISIANA COAST...DANGEROUS FLOOD THREAT
FROM RAINFALL AND STORM SURGE...

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY LOUISIANA
EASTWARD TO MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM EAST OF HIGH ISLAND
TEXAS TO PASCAGOULA MISSISSIPPI.

AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BILL WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 28.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 91.5 WEST OR ABOUT 50 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA.

BILL IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 14 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO BRING THE STORM INLAND OVER LOUISIANA LATER TODAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 60 MPH WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS STILL POSSIBLE DURING THE
SEVERAL HOURS REMAINING BEFORE LANDFALL.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 145 MILES FROM THE
CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 MB...29.56 INCHES.

STORM SURGE COASTAL FLOODING IS EXPECTED TO BE ABOUT 3 TO 5 FEET
ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER
CROSSES THE COAST.

ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ARE EXPECTED OVER
PORTIONS OF LOUISIANA...MISSISSIPPI...ALABAMA...AND THE WESTERN
FLORIDA PANHANDLE.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN
LOUISIANA...SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI..SOUTHERN ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN
FLORIDA PANHANDLE.

REPEATING THE 10 AM CDT POSITION...28.8 N... 91.5 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 60 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 1 PM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 4 PM
CDT.

FORECASTER LAWRENCE