Hurricane Fabian

Forecast Advisory 22

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000
WTNT35 KNHC 020222
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
HURRICANE FABIAN ADVISORY NUMBER 22
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM AST MON SEP 01 2003

...FABIAN REMAINS A STRONG CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE...

AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF MAJOR HURRICANE FABIAN WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 58.6 WEST OR ABOUT
235 MILES...380 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF BARBUDA IN THE NORTHERN
LEEWARD ISLANDS.

FABIAN IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/HR...
AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF FABIAN IS EXPECTED TO PASS
WELL TO THE NORTHEAST AND NORTH OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS ON
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 145 MPH...230 KM/HR...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS. FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE COMMON WITH MAJOR
HURRICANES AND COULD OCCUR DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 50 MILES... 85 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 140 MILES...220 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 942 MB...27.82 INCHES.

LARGE SWELLS AND DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS WILL BE AFFECTING THE
NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS...THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND PUERTO RICO
...OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.

REPEATING THE 11 PM AST POSITION...19.4 N... 58.6 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...145 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 942 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
AT 5 AM AST.

FORECASTER STEWART