Hurricane Fabian

Forecast Advisory 25



000
WTNT35 KNHC 022038
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
HURRICANE FABIAN ADVISORY NUMBER 25
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM AST TUE SEP 02 2003

...FABIAN BYPASSING THE LEEWARD ISLANDS...

AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FABIAN WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 20.7 NORTH... LONGITUDE 61.1 WEST OR ABOUT 210
MILES...340 KM...NORTH-NORTHEAST OF BARBUDA IN THE NORTHERN LEEWARD
ISLANDS.

FABIAN IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH
...17 KM/HR. A TURN TO THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS. FABIAN IS CURRENTLY MAKING ITS CLOSEST APPROACH TO THE
LEEWARD ISLANDS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 140 MPH...220 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE COMMON IN MAJOR HURRICANES AND
THESE COULD OCCUR DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 150 MILES...240 KM.

THE LATEST PRESSURE ESTIMATED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT
RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 945 MB...27.91 INCHES.

LARGE SWELLS AND DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS WILL BE AFFECTING THE
NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS...THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND PUERTO RICO OVER
THE NEXT DAY OR SO.

REPEATING THE 5 PM AST POSITION...20.7 N... 61.1 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...140 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 945 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 PM AST.

FORECASTER FRANKLIN