Tropical Storm Henri
Forecast Advisory 4
000
WTNT35 KNHC 041444
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
HURRICANE FABIAN ADVISORY NUMBER 32
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM AST THU SEP 04 2003
...SEVERE HURRICANE FABIAN FORECAST TO PASS VERY NEAR BERMUDA...
AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A
HURRICANE WARNING FOR BERMUDA.
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE EYE OF HURRICANE FABIAN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 25.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 64.0 WEST OR ABOUT 500 MILES...805
KM...SOUTH OF BERMUDA.
FABIAN IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR.
ON THIS TRACK...FABIAN WILL BE PASSING NEAR OR OVER BERMUDA DURING
THE NEXT DAY OR SO.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 120 MPH...195 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY ARE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 200 MILES...325 KM. FABIAN IS A LARGE HURRICANE AND TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH BERMUDA EARLY FRIDAY...WELL
IN ADVANCE OF THE EYE.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 944 MB...27.88 INCHES.
LARGE SWELLS AND DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT
THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS...THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND PUERTO
RICO. LARGE SWELLS WILL ALSO BEGIN TO SPREAD ALONG PORTIONS OF THE
EAST COAST OF THE UNITED STATES TODAY.
REPEATING THE 11 AM AST POSITION...25.2 N... 64.0 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...120 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 944 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 2 PM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM
AST.
FORECASTER AVILA
000
WTNT32 KNHC 041449
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
10 AM CDT THU SEP 04 2003
...DEPRESSION DRIFTING NORTHEASTWARD...RAINS MOVING INLAND...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE GULF COAST OF FLORIDA
FROM ENGLEWOOD NORTHWARD TO INDIAN PASS.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.9 NORTH... LONGITUDE 87.1 WEST OR ABOUT
175 MILES SOUTHWEST OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA.
THE DEPRESSION IS DRIFTING NORTHEASTWARD. A SLOW MOTION TO THE
EAST-NORTHEAST MOTION IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. THE DEPRESSION IS FORECAST TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM DURING
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
THE LATEST PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT
RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 1010 MB...29.83 INCHES.
MOST OF THE HEAVY RAINS WITH THE DEPRESSION ARE LOCATED WELL TO THE
EAST OF THE CENTER. THESE RAINS ARE ALREADY AFFECTING PORTIONS OF
THE FLORIDA GULF COAST. RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10
INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED IN
ASSOCIATION WITH THE DEPRESSION.
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE SOUTH OF WHERE THE CENTER
MAKES LANDFALL.
REPEATING THE 10 AM CDT POSITION...27.9 N... 87.1 W. MOVEMENT
...DRIFTING NORTHEAST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1010 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 1 PM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 4 PM CDT.
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
