Hurricane Juan

Forecast Advisory 13

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000
WTNT35 KNHC 281429
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
HURRICANE JUAN ADVISORY NUMBER 13
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM AST SUN SEP 28 2003

...JUAN HEADING FOR NOVA SCOTIA...

RAIN AND WIND WARNINGS CONTINUE IN EFFECT FOR NOVA SCOTIA. HURRICANE
FORCE WIND WARNINGS CONTINUE IN EFFECT FOR THE NOVA SCOTIA MARINE
AREAS.

AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JUAN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 39.4 NORTH... LONGITUDE 64.1 WEST OR ABOUT 360 MILES...585
KM...SOUTH OF HALIFAX NOVA SCOTIA.

JUAN IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 20 MPH ...32 KM/HR...AND A
CONTINUED NORTHWARD MOTION WITH A FURTHER INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED
IS EXPECTED TODAY AND TONIGHT. ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER OF THE
HURRICANE WILL BE NEAR THE COAST OF NOVA SCOTIA BY THIS EVENING.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 100 MPH...160 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. WEAKENING IS EXPECTED AS THE HURRICANE MOVES OVER COLDER
WATERS THIS AFTERNOON...BUT JUAN IS STILL EXPECTED TO BRING
HURRICANE CONDITIONS TO PORTIONS OF NOVA SCOTIA BY LATER THIS
AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES... 55 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 230 MILES...370 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 973 MB...28.73 INCHES.

SOME STORM SURGE FLOODING IN EXCESS OF 3 FT...OR 1 METER...MAY OCCUR
ALONG THE SOUTH COAST OF NOVA SCOTIA. JUAN IS EXPECTED TO MAKE
LANDFALL NEAR ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDE THIS EVENING.

REPEATING THE 11 AM AST POSITION...39.4 N... 64.1 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 20 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...100 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 973 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 PM AST.

FORECASTER PASCH




000
WTNT31 KNHC 281445
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM KATE ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM AST SUN SEP 28 2003

...KATE MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD...

AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KATE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 24.5 NORTH... LONGITUDE 43.3 WEST OR ABOUT 1275
MILES...2050 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS.

KATE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 10 MPH...17
KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE
NEXT 24 HOURS WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH... 95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB...29.44 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 11 AM AST POSITION...24.5 N... 43.3 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 60 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 997 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
5 PM AST.

FORECASTER PASCH/BERG