Hurricane Juan

Forecast Advisory 16

---

000
WTNT35 KNHC 290825
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM JUAN ADVISORY NUMBER 16
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM AST MON SEP 29 2003

...JUAN WEAKENING AND RAPIDLY LOSING TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS...

HEAVY RAIN AND WIND WARNINGS CONTINUE IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF NOVA
SCOTIA AND PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND.

AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JUAN WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 47.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 63.4 WEST OR ABOUT
50 MILES...80 KM...NORTH-NORTHEAST OF NORTH POINT ON PRINCE EDWARD
ISLAND.

JUAN IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION...ACCOMPANIED BY A STEADY INCREASE IN FORWARD
SPEED...IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. JUAN IS RAPIDLY LOSING TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS AND SOME
ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES
...280 KM FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 987 MB...29.15 INCHES.

LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL ALONG WITH HIGH SURF AND LARGE BATTERING
WAVES CAN BE EXPECTED IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE REMNANT CIRCULATION
OF JUAN. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION FROM THE CANADIAN HURRICANE CENTRE
CAN BE FOUND AT THE FOLLOWING INTERNET ADDRESS:
WWW.ATL.EC.GC.CA/WEATHER/HURRICANE/INDEX_E.HTML

JUAN MADE LANDFALL ALONG THE SOUTH COAST OF NOVA SCOTIA JUST TO THE
WEST OF HALIFAX AROUND 11 PM AST...0300Z...SUNDAY EVENING. A FEW
WIND REPORTS DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS INCLUDE...A SUSTAINED WIND OF
62 MPH WITH A GUST TO 89 MPH AT HALIFAX INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT... A
SUSTAINED WIND OF 58 MPH WITH A GUST TO 75 MPH AT HALIFAX HARBOR...
A SUSTAINED WIND OF 53 MPH WITH A GUST TO 74 MPH AT CARIBOU POINT
NOVA SCOTIA...A SUSTAINED WIND OF 59 MPH WITH A GUST TO 86 MPH AT
CHARLOTTETOWN PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND...AND A GUST TO 56 MPH AT TRURO
NOVA SCOTIA.

REPEATING THE 5 AM AST POSITION...47.8 N... 63.4 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 40 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 70 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 987 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM.

FORECASTER STEWART





000
WTNT31 KNHC 290831
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM KATE ADVISORY NUMBER 15
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM AST MON SEP 29 2003

AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KATE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 27.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 39.7 WEST OR ABOUT 970
MILES...1560 KM...SOUTHWEST OF LAJES IN THE AZORES.

KATE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/HR...WITH A
DECREASE IN FORWARD MOTION EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT DAY
OR SO.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230 MILES
...370 KM FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB...29.35 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 5 AM AST POSITION...27.7 N... 39.7 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 65 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 994 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 AM AST.

FORECASTER STEWART/HOLWEG