Hurricane Kate
Forecast Advisory 40
000
WTNT32 KNHC 051427
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM LARRY ADVISORY NUMBER 16
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
10 AM CDT SUN OCT 05 2003
...LARRY MOVING SLOWLY INLAND...HEAVY RAINS CONTINUE...
AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE
HURRICANE WATCH. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG
THE GULF COAST OF MEXICO FROM VERACRUZ TO CIUDAD CEL CARMEN.
AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LARRY WAS
LOCATED JUST INLAND NEAR LATITUDE 18.3 NORTH... LONGITUDE 93.5 WEST
OR ABOUT 65 MILES...100 KM...EAST OF COATZACOALCOS MEXICO.
LARRY IS MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTH NEAR 2 MPH ... 4 KM/HR...AND THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS...BRINGING
THE CENTER OF LARRY FARTHER INLAND.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH... 85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LARRY IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION LATER
TODAY OR TONIGHT.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES
... 75 KM...MAINLY OFFSHORE NORTH OF THE CENTER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB...29.44 INCHES.
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE WAVES...IS LIKELY OCCURRING AT THIS
TIME NEAR AND TO THE WEST OF THE CENTER OF LARRY.
HEAVY RAINS...WITH STORM TOTALS OF 8 TO 12 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY
HIGHER AMOUNTS...ARE LIKELY OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO.
THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOOD AND MUDSLIDES.
REPEATING THE 10 AM CDT POSITION...18.3 N... 93.5 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...SOUTH NEAR 2 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 50 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 997 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 1 PM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 4 PM CDT.
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
000
WTNT31 KNHC 051445
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
HURRICANE KATE ADVISORY NUMBER 40
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM AST SUN OCT 05 2003
...KATE TURNS TO THE NORTHWEST...
AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KATE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 31.2 NORTH... LONGITUDE 56.3 WEST OR ABOUT 505 MILES...810
KM...EAST OF BERMUDA.
KATE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH ...15 KM/HR. A TURN
TO THE NORTH AT A FASTER FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 12
TO 24 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 100 MPH...160 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES... 55 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 175 MILES...280 KM.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 973 MB...28.73 INCHES.
REPEATING THE 11 AM AST POSITION...31.2 N... 56.3 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...100 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 973 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 PM AST.
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
