Hurricane Kate

Forecast Advisory 41

---

000
WTNT32 KNHC 052027
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM LARRY ADVISORY NUMBER 17
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
4 PM CDT SUN OCT 05 2003

...HEAVY RAINS FROM LARRY CONTINUE...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE GULF COAST OF
MEXICO FROM VERACRUZ TO CIUDAD DEL CARMEN.

AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LARRY WAS LOCATED
INLAND NEAR LATITUDE 18.2 NORTH... LONGITUDE 93.8 WEST OR ABOUT 45
MILES...70 KM...EAST OF COATZACOALCOS MEXICO.

LARRY HAS BEEN DRIFTING ERRATICALLY OVER THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS...
AND A SOUTH OR SOUTHWESTWARD DRIFT FARTHER INLAND IS EXPECTED OVER
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH... 65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LARRY IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIS
EVENING.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES
... 75 KM FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING SHOULD GRADUALLY DIMINISH OVERNIGHT.

HEAVY RAINS...WITH STORM TOTALS OF 8 TO 12 INCHES...AND LOCALLY
HIGHER AMOUNTS...ARE LIKELY OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO.
THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOOD AND MUDSLIDES.

REPEATING THE 4 PM CDT POSITION...18.2 N... 93.8 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...DRIFTING ERRATICALLY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 7 PM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 10 PM CDT.

FORECASTER FRANKLIN





000
WTNT31 KNHC 052032
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
HURRICANE KATE ADVISORY NUMBER 41
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM AST SUN OCT 05 2003

...KATE WEAKENS AS IT HEADS NORTH...

AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KATE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 31.9 NORTH... LONGITUDE 56.5 WEST OR ABOUT 485 MILES...780
KM...EAST OF BERMUDA.

KATE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 10 MPH ...17 KM/HR. AN INCREASE
IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 90 MPH...150 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS LIKELY OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES... 55 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 175 MILES...280 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 976 MB...28.82 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 5 PM AST POSITION...31.9 N... 56.5 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 90 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 976 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 PM AST.

FORECASTER FRANKLIN