Tropical Storm Larry
Forecast Advisory 9
000
WTNT32 KNHC 032034
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM LARRY ADVISORY NUMBER 9
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
4 PM CDT FRI OCT 03 2003
...LARRY CONTINUES ITS ERRATIC DRIFT...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR
THE BAY OF CAMPECHE COAST OF MEXICO FROM VERACRUZ TO CAMPECHE.
AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LARRY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 94.7 WEST OR ABOUT
110 MILES...180 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF VERACRUZ MEXICO.
LARRY IS DRIFTING ERRATICALLY TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST. AN ERRATIC
SOUTHWARD DRIFT IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS MOTION
WILL GRADUALLY BRING THE CENTER CLOSER TO THE COAST OF MEXICO.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH... 95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME SLOW STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 145 MILES...235 KM
FROM THE CENTER. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS COULD BEGIN SPREADING
ONSHORE IN THE WARNING AREA TONIGHT.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 995 MB...29.38 INCHES.
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING SHOULD GRADUALLY INCREASE IN AREAS OF
ONSHORE FLOW WITHIN THE WARNING AREA TODAY...ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE
AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES.
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS ASSOCIATED WITH LARRY ARE SPREADING ONSHORE
OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.
REPEATING THE 4 PM CDT POSITION...19.9 N... 94.7 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...DRIFTING ERRATICALLY SOUTHWESTWARD. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 60 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 995 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 7 PM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 10 PM CDT.
FORECASTER BEVEN
000
WTNT31 KNHC 032035
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
HURRICANE KATE ADVISORY NUMBER 33
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM AST FRI OCT 03 2003
...KATE BECOMES THIRD MAJOR HURRICANE OF THE 2003 SEASON...
AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KATE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 29.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 49.7 WEST OR ABOUT 905 MILES...
1455 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA.
KATE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR...AND A
GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 115 MPH...185
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THIS MAKES KATE A CATEGORY THREE MAJOR
HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. SOME ADDITIONAL
STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE TONIGHT.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES... 55 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 230 MILES...370 KM.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 962 MB...28.41 INCHES.
REPEATING THE 5 PM AST POSITION...29.7 N... 49.7 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...115 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 962 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 PM AST.
FORECASTER BEVEN
