Tropical Storm Larry
Forecast Advisory 10
000
WTNT32 KNHC 040225
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM LARRY ADVISORY NUMBER 10
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
10 PM CDT FRI OCT 03 2003
...LARRY DRIFTS SLOWLY AND ERRATICALLY TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST...
AT 10 PM CDT...0000Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS EXTENDED THE
TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND HURRICANE WATCH NORTHWARD FROM VERACRUZ
TO TUXPAN. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND HURRICANE WATCH ARE NOW IN
EFFECT ALONG THE GULF COAST OF MEXICO FROM TUXPAN TO CAMPECHE.
AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LARRY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 94.7 WEST OR ABOUT
105 MILES...170 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF VERACRUZ MEXICO.
LARRY IS DRIFTING SLOWLY AND ERRATICALLY TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST AND A
MOSTLY SOUTHWARD DRIFT IS EXPECTED ON SATURDAY. THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO MOVE LARRY CLOSER TO THE COAST OF MEXICO.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 60 MPH... 95 KM/HR...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS. A RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WILL BE IN AREA EARLY SATURDAY
MORNING TO DETERMINE IF LARRY HAS STRENGTHENED.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 145 MILES
...230 KM FROM THE CENTER.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 995 MB...29.38 INCHES.
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY INCREASE IN
AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...ACCOMPANIED BY
LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES.
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS ASSOCIATED WITH LARRY ARE SPREADING ONSHORE
OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.
REPEATING THE 10 PM CDT POSITION...19.8 N... 94.7 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...SOUTHWEST NEAR 2 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 60 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 995 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 1 AM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 4 AM CDT.
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
000
WTNT31 KNHC 040227
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
HURRICANE KATE ADVISORY NUMBER 34
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM AST FRI OCT 03 2003
...KATE IS A CATEGORY 3 HURRICANE
ON THE SAFFIR/SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE...
AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KATE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 29.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 50.8 WEST OR ABOUT 845 MILES...
1360 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA.
KATE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR...AND THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 115 MPH...185 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES... 55 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 200 MILES...325 KM.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 962 MB...28.41 INCHES.
REPEATING THE 11 PM AST POSITION...29.9 N... 50.8 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...115 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 962 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
5 AM AST.
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
