Tropical Storm Larry

Forecast Advisory 19



000
WTNT31 KNHC 060835
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
HURRICANE KATE ADVISORY NUMBER 43
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM AST MON OCT 06 2003

...KATE MOVING FASTER TOWARD THE NORTH...

AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KATE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 34.2 NORTH... LONGITUDE 55.8 WEST OR ABOUT 875
MILES...1410 KM...SOUTH OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND.

KATE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 15 MPH ...24 KM/HR...AND A
FURTHER INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 90 MPH...150 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES... 55 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 175 MILES...280 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 976 MB...28.82 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 5 AM AST POSITION...34.2 N... 55.8 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 15 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 90 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 976 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 AM AST.

FORECASTER PASCH



000
WTNT32 KNHC 060836
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION LARRY ADVISORY NUMBER 19
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
4 AM CDT MON OCT 06 2003

...LARRY DISSIPATING OVER EASTERN MEXICO...STILL A HEAVY RAIN AND
FLOOD THREAT...

AT 4 AM CDT...0900Z...THE POORLY-DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL
DEPRESSION LARRY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.3 NORTH...
LONGITUDE 94.0 WEST OR ABOUT 65 MILES...110 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF
COATZACOALCOS MEXICO.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST NEAR 3 MPH
... 6 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 25 MPH... 35 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LARRY IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE OVER LAND DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.

EVEN THOUGH LARRY IS DISSIPATING...ITS REMNANTS ARE EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE TO PRODUCE HEAVY RAINS OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN
MEXICO OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.

REPEATING THE 4 AM CDT POSITION...17.3 N... 94.0 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST NEAR 3 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 25 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON LARRY UNLESS REGENERATION OCCURS.

FORECASTER PASCH