Tropical Storm Nicholas

Forecast Advisory 1



000
WTNT34 KNHC 132027
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINETEEN ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM AST MON OCT 13 2003

...NEW DEPRESSION FORMS IN THE FAR EASTERN TROPICAL ATLANTIC...

SATELLITE PICTURES INDICATE THAT THE STRONG TROPICAL WAVE OVER THE
EASTERN ATLANTIC HAS SPAWNED THE NINETEENTH TROPICAL DEPRESSION OF
THE ATLANTIC SEASON.

AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINENTEEN
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 9.6 NORTH... LONGITUDE 38.7 WEST OR ABOUT
1030 MILES...1660 KM...WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 8 MPH ...13
KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH... 45 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SLOW STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS...AND THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM ON
TUESDAY.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 5 PM AST POSITION... 9.6 N... 38.7 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 30 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
11 PM AST.

FORECASTER PASCH



000
WTNT33 KNHC 132032
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION MINDY ADVISORY NUMBER 13
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM AST MON OCT 13 2003

...MINDY WEAK BUT PERSISTENT...

AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION MINDY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.1 NORTH... LONGITUDE 67.7 WEST OR ABOUT
470 MILES...755 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF BERMUDA.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST NEAR 10 MPH ...17
KM/HR...AND AN EASTWARD TO EAST-NORTHEASTWARD MOTION AT A SLIGHTLY
FASTER FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH... 45 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS.

AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE REPORTED A MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE OF 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 5 PM AST POSITION...26.1 N... 67.7 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...EAST NEAR 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 30 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
11 PM AST.

FORECASTER PASCH