Tropical Storm Nicholas

Forecast Advisory 40

---

000
WTNT34 KNHC 231432
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION NICHOLAS ADVISORY NUMBER 40
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM AST THU OCT 23 2003

...NICHOLAS CONTINUES TO LOSE ORGANIZATION...

AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
NICHOLAS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.9 NORTH...
LONGITUDE 56.5 WEST OR ABOUT 520 MILES...835 KM...NORTHEAST OF THE
NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH
...19 KM/HR. A TURN TO THE NORTH WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED
IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. THE CIRCULATION OF NICHOLAS IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE LATER
TODAY OR TOMORROW.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 11 AM AST POSITION...22.9 N... 56.5 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 PM AST.

FORECASTER FRANKLIN