Tropical Depression Nine

Forecast Advisory 4



000
WTNT34 KNHC 221443
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM AST FRI AUG 22 2003

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED...PLANE WILL CHECK
THE CYCLONE THIS AFTERNOON...

AT 11 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC HAS BEEN EXTENDED EASTWARD TO ISLA SAONA. A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTH COAST OF THE
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM ISLA SAONA WESTWARD TO THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC-HAITI BORDER.

AT 11 AM AST...1500 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR
HAITI.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN CUBA
LATER TODAY. ALL INTERESTS IN EASTERN CUBA AND THE SOUTHEASTERN
BAHAMAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 68.6 WEST OR ABOUT
155 MILES...250 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF SANTO DOMINGO IN THE
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH
...19 KM/HR. THIS MOTION WOULD BRING THE CENTER OF THE TROPICAL
CYCLONE OVER HAITI WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM BEFORE
LANDFALL. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS
SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE THE DEPRESSION THIS AFTERNOON.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES.

STORM TOTAL RAINFALL OF 3 TO 6 INCHES IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE PATH
OF THE DEPRESSION. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH
FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES...PARTICULARLY IN MOUNTAINS AREAS.

REPEATING THE 11 AM AST POSITION...16.4 N... 68.6 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 2 PM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM
AST.

FORECASTER AVILA