Hurricane Alex
Forecast Advisory 12
000
WTNT31 KNHC 030830
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
HURRICANE ALEX ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT TUE AUG 03 2004
...ALEX STRENGTHENS SOME MORE AS IT MOVES NORTHEASTWARD NEAR THE
NORTH CAROLINA COAST...
AT 5 AM EDT...0900 UTC...ALL WARNINGS ARE DISCONTINUED SOUTH OF CAPE
FEAR NORTH CAROLINA.
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM CAPE LOOKOUT TO OREGON
INLET NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING THE PAMLICO SOUND. THIS MEANS
THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY
SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF OREGON INLET TO
THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER...INCLUDING THE ALBEMARLE SOUND.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM CAPE FEAR TO CAPE
LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA.
AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ALEX WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 33.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 76.9 WEST OR ABOUT 80 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA. THIS IS ALSO ABOUT
75 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF WILMINGTON NORTH CAROLINA.
ALEX IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 10 MPH...AND THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED DURING THE
NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF ALEX IS
FORECAST TO PASS VERY NEAR THE NORTH CAROLINA OUTER BANKS LATER
TODAY. IT SHOULD BE NOTED THAT ANY MOTION TO THE LEFT OF THE
FORECAST TRACK COULD BRING THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE ACROSS THE
NORTH CAROLINA COAST.
REPORTS FROM NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADARS IN WILMINGTON
AND NEWPORT NORTH CAROLINA INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 80 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME
ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE TODAY.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES FROM THE
CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105
MILES. THE NOAA BUOY NEAR FRYING PAN SHOALS NORTH CAROLINA
RECENTLY REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS OF 38 MPH WITH A GUST OF 47 MPH.
WIND GUSTS OF NEAR 40 MPH HAVE ALSO BEEN REPORTED ALONG PORTIONS OF
THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST NEAR WILMINGTON.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 983 MB...29.03 INCHES.
STORM TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED
HIGHER AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED IN ASSOCIATION WITH ALEX.
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS
CAN BE EXPECTED ON ATLANTIC SHORELINES. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2
TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS CAN BE EXPECTED INSIDE PAMLICO
SOUND. HIGH SURF AND RIP CURRENTS WILL AFFECT MUCH OF THE
SOUTHEASTERN AND MID-ATLANTIC U.S. COASTAL AREAS FOR THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS.
REPEATING THE 5 AM EDT POSITION...33.5 N... 76.9 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 80 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 983 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 AM EDT.
FORECASTER BEVEN
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