Hurricane Alex
Forecast Advisory 15
000
WTNT31 KNHC 040221
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
HURRICANE ALEX ADVISORY NUMBER 15
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT TUE AUG 03 2004
ALL WARNINGS FOR COASTAL NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING ALBEMARLE AND
PAMLICO SOUNDS...WERE DISCONTINUED AT 8 PM EDT...0000 UTC.
AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ALEX WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 36.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 72.8 WEST OR ABOUT 175 MILES...
285 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA.
ALEX IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 17 MPH...28 KM/HR...AND
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 90 MPH...150 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. ONLY SLIGHT WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES... 75 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 115 MILES...185 KM.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 973 MB...28.73 INCHES.
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING IS SUBSIDING TONIGHT. HIGH SURF AND RIP
CURRENTS WILL AFFECT MUCH OF THE MID-ATLANTIC U.S. COASTAL AREAS
FOR THE NEXT DAY OR SO.
REPEATING THE 11 PM EDT POSITION...36.5 N... 72.8 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 17 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 90 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 973 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 2 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 AM
EDT.
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
$$
000
WTNT32 KNHC 040234
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM AST TUE AUG 03 2004
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION MOVING CLOSER TO THE LESSER ANTILLES...
...HEAVY SQUALLS WILL AFFECT THE ISLANDS ON WEDNESDAY...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR ST LUCIA.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR GUADELOUPE...MARTINIQUE
...DOMINICA...ST. MAARTEN...SABA...ST. EUSTATIUS...AND FOR PUERTO
RICO AND THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS.
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD OVER PORTIONS OF
THE LESSER ANTILLES ON WEDNESDAY...ESPECIALLY AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS.
AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE POORLY-DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL
DEPRESSION TWO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE
58.3 WEST OR ABOUT 85 MILES... 135 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF
BARBADOS. THIS IS ALSO ABOUT 175 MILES...280 KM...EAST OF ST.
LUCIA. THERE ARE SOME INDICATIONS THAT THE CENTER MAY BE TRYING
TO REFORM A LITTLE FARTHER SOUTH.
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 22 MPH...35 KM/HR...
AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS OR SO. ON THIS TRACK THE CYCLONE WILL BE AFFECTING PORTIONS
OF THE LESSER ANTILLES DURING THE DAY WEDNESDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND
THE DEPRESSION COULD REACH TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH AS IT MOVES
THROUGH THE LESSER ANTILLES ON WEDNESDAY. LOCALLY STRONGER WINDS
CAN BE EXPECTED AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS...ESPECIALLY ABOVE 1000 FEET.
AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULED TO
INVESTIGATE THE SYSTEM WEDNESDAY MORNING.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1009 MB...29.80 INCHES.
REPEATING THE 11 PM AST POSITION...13.6 N... 58.3 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 22 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 AM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 AM AST.
FORECASTER STEWART
$$
