Hurricane Charley

Forecast Advisory 1

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000
WTNT33 KNHC 091746
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE SPECIAL ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
145 PM AST MON AUG 09 2004

...THIRD TROPICAL DEPRESSION OF THE SEASON FORMS NEAR THE WINDWARD
ISLANDS...

INTERESTS IN THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD CLOSELY
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

AT 145 PM AST...1745Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
THREE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 61.1 WEST OR
ABOUT 50 MILES... 80 KM...SOUTHEAST OF GRENADA.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 22 MPH
...35 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM TONIGHT OR ON TUESDAY.

WIND GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE ARE LIKELY OVER PORTIONS OF THE
WINDWARD ISLANDS THROUGH THIS EVENING...ESPECIALLY OVER ELEVATED
TERRAIN.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1011 MB...29.85 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 145 PM AST POSITION...11.7 N... 61.1 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 22 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1011 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
500 PM AST.

FORECASTER PASCH

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