Hurricane Danielle
Forecast Advisory 4
000
WTNT33 KNHC 140857
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
HURRICANE CHARLEY ADVISORY NUMBER 21
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT SAT AUG 14 2004
...CHARLEY HEADING FOR THE CAROLINAS...
AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE HURRICANE WARNING IS EXTENDED NORTHWARD
TO THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA STATE LINE. A HURRICANE WARNING IS
NOW IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA TO THE NORTH
CAROLINA/VIRGINIA STATE LINE INCLUDING THE PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE
SOUNDS.
AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS EXTENDED
NORTHWARD TO SANDY HOOK INCLUDING ALL OF THE TIDAL POTOMAC...
CHESAPEAKE BAY AND DELAWARE BAY. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN
EFFECT FROM THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA STATE LINE TO SANDY HOOK
INCLUDING ALL OF THE TIDAL POTOMAC...CHESAPEAKE AND DELAWARE BAYS.
AT 5 AM EST...0900Z...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS ISSUED FROM NORTH OF
SANDY HOOK TO THE MERRIMACK RIVER INCLUDING NEW YORK HARBOR AND
LONG ISLAND SOUND.
AT 5 AM EST...0900Z...THE HURRICANE WARNING IS DISCONTINUED FROM
ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA SOUTHWARD.
AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CHARLEY WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 31.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 80.5 WEST OR ABOUT 115 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA.
CHARLEY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 25 MPH. THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...CHARLEY WILL BE NEARING
THE SOUTH CAROLINA COAST LATER TODAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 85 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS MAINLY TO
THE EAST OF THE CENTER. SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE BEFORE
LANDFALL.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES FROM THE
CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 115 MILES MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN RECONNAISSANCE PLANE WAS
994 MB...29.35 INCHES.
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 6 TO 8 FT IS EXPECTED ALONG PORTIONS OF THE
SOUTH AND NORTH CAROLINA COASTS NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE
CENTER OF CHARLEY CROSSES THE COAST. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 3 TO
5 FEET IS EXPECTED IN THE REMAINDER OF THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA.
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE LIKELY ALONG THE PATH OF
CHARLEY ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE EASTERN UNITED STATES. THESE RAINS
COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS.
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF COASTAL SOUTH AND
NORTH CAROLINA.
REPEATING THE 5 AM EDT POSITION...31.2 N... 80.5 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 25 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 85 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 994 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 8 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 AM
EDT.
FORECASTER AVILA
$$
000
WTNT35 KNHC 140857
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM AST SAT AUG 14 2004
WATCHES MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE LESSER ANTILLES LATER
TODAY. INTERESTS IN THE LESSER ANTILLES AND THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN
SEA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THIS SYSTEM OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS.
AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 9.8 NORTH... LONGITUDE 49.8 WEST OR ABOUT
700 MILES...1130 KM... EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS.
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 20 MPH
...32 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT
24 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1009 MB...29.80 INCHES.
REPEATING THE 5 AM AST POSITION... 9.8 N... 49.8 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 20 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 AM AST.
FORECASTER JARVINEN
$$
000
WTNT34 KNHC 140858
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM DANIELLE ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM AST SAT AUG 14 2004
AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DANIELLE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.2 NORTH... LONGITUDE 25.9 WEST OR ABOUT
140 MILES... 215 KM... SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN MOST OF THE CAPE
VERDE ISLANDS.
DANIELLE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/HR
AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH... 75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES
... 95 KM FROM THE CENTER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.
REPEATING THE 5 AM AST POSITION...13.2 N... 25.9 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 45 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 AM AST.
FORECASTER JARVINEN
$$
Z
