Hurricane Danielle

Forecast Advisory 12

---

000
WTNT35 KNHC 160849
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM EARL ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM AST MON AUG 16 2004

...EARL CONTINUES MOVING WESTWARD OVER THE SOUTHERN CARIBBEAN SEA...

AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM EARL WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 67.2 WEST OR
ABOUT 410 MILES... 655 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF SANTO DOMINGO
IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC.

EARL IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 21 MPH
...33 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH... 75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME SLOW STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULED
TO INVESTIGATE THE STORM LATER THIS MORNING.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES
...140 KM FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1009 MB...29.80 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 5 AM AST POSITION...13.2 N... 67.2 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 21 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 45 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
AT 11 AM AST.

FORECASTER STEWART


$$




000
WTNT34 KNHC 160851
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
HURRICANE DANIELLE ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM AST MON AUG 16 2004

...DANIELLE MAINTAINS ITS CURRENT STRENGTH...

AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DANIELLE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 17.2 NORTH... LONGITUDE 36.3 WEST OR ABOUT 820
MILES...1315 KM... WEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 105 MPH...165 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES... 35 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 105 MILES...165 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 970 MB...28.64 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 5 AM AST POSITION...17.2 N... 36.3 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...105 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 970 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 AM AST.

FORECASTER SISKO/STEWART


$$