Tropical Storm Earl

Forecast Advisory 5



000
WTNT34 KNHC 142039
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM DANIELLE ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM AST SAT AUG 14 2004

...DANIELLE STRENGTHENING OVER THE FAR EASTERN ATLANTIC...

AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM
DANIELLE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.7 NORTH...
LONGITUDE 28.7 WEST OR ABOUT 300 MILES... 480 KM...
WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.

DANIELLE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH
...24 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT
24 HOURS...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TO THE NORTHWEST.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS...AND DANIELLE WILL LIKELY BECOME A HURRICANE TONIGHT OR ON
SUNDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES
...140 KM FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB...29.35 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 5 PM AST POSITION...13.7 N... 28.7 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 65 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 994 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 PM AST.

FORECASTER BROWN/PASCH


$$


000
WTNT35 KNHC 142045
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM EARL ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM AST SAT AUG 14 2004

...DEPRESSION STRENGTHENS INTO FIFTH TROPICAL STORM OF THE SEASON...

AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF BARBADOS HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR BARBADOS...ST. VINCENT...AND THE
GRENADINES...THE TRINIDAD-TOBAGO METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES HAS ISSUED
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR TRINIDAD...TOBAGO...GRENADA AND ITS
DEPENDENCIES...AND THE GOVERNMENT OF ST. LUCIA HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR ST. LUCIA. INTERESTS AROUND THE EASTERN
CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE HAS
INTENSIFIED INTO TROPICAL STORM EARL.

AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM EARL WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 10.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 54.5 WEST OR ABOUT 375
MILES... 605 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF BARBADOS.

EARL IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 24 MPH
...39 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR
THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK THE STORM WILL MOVE OVER PORTIONS
OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS ON. WEATHER CONDITIONS OVER THE WINDWARD
ISLANDS WILL BE DETERIORATING TONIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH... 65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. FURTHER STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES
...140 KM FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.

RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE LIKELY IN ASSOCIATION WITH
CHARLEY.

REPEATING THE 5 PM AST POSITION...10.8 N... 54.5 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 24 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 PM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 PM AST.

FORECASTER PASCH

$$


000
WTNT33 KNHC 142046
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM CHARLEY ADVISORY NUMBER 23
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT SAT AUG 14 2004

...CHARLEY INLAND OVER NORTHEASTERN NORTH CAROLINA...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH
CAROLINA NORTHWARD TO THE MERRIMACK RIVER MASSACHUSETTS INCLUDING
THE PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS...THE TIDAL POTOMAC...CHESAPEAKE
BAY...DELAWARE BAY....NEW YORK HARBOR AND LONG ISLAND SOUND. AT 5
PM...WARNINGS ARE DISCONTINUED SOUTH OF CAPE LOOKOUT.

AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CHARLEY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 36.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 77.0 WEST. THIS
POSITION IS OVER NORTHEASTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND ABOUT 75 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF NORFOLK VIRGINIA.

CHARLEY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 30 MPH AND A
GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED ON SUNDAY. ON THIS
TRACK CHARLEY WILL MOVE NEAR AND ALONG THE U.S. NORTHEAST COAST.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES MAINLY TO
THE EAST OF THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF UP TO 4 FT ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS ALONG
THE SOUTHERN COAST OF NORTH CAROLINA WILL SUBSIDE TONIGHT. STORM
SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 3 FT ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS EXPECTED
ALONG THE U.S. CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST COAST TONIGHT AND EARLY SUNDAY
AS CHARLEY MOVES BY.

RAINFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE LIKELY ALONG THE PATH OF
CHARLEY OVER THE CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST U.S. COASTAL STATES.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN NORTH
CAROLINA AND SOUTHEASTERN VIRGINIA.

REPEATING THE 5 PM EDT POSITION...36.0 N... 77.0 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 30 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 70 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 PM EDT.

FORECASTER LAWRENCE


$$


000
WTNT35 KNHC 142056
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM EARL ADVISORY NUMBER 5...CORRECTED
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM AST SAT AUG 14 2004
...CORRECTED TO INCLUDE SUNDAY IN MOTION SECTION AND REPLACE CHARLEY
WITH EARL IN RAINFALL STATEMENT...

...DEPRESSION STRENGTHENS INTO FIFTH TROPICAL STORM OF THE SEASON...

AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF BARBADOS HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR BARBADOS...ST. VINCENT...AND THE
GRENADINES...THE TRINIDAD-TOBAGO METEOROLOGICAL SERVICES HAS ISSUED
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR TRINIDAD...TOBAGO...GRENADA AND ITS
DEPENDENCIES...AND THE GOVERNMENT OF ST. LUCIA HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR ST. LUCIA. INTERESTS AROUND THE EASTERN
CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE HAS
INTENSIFIED INTO TROPICAL STORM EARL.

AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM EARL WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 10.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 54.5 WEST OR ABOUT 375
MILES... 605 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF BARBADOS.

EARL IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 24 MPH
...39 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR
THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK THE STORM WILL MOVE OVER PORTIONS
OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS ON SUNDAY. WEATHER CONDITIONS OVER THE
WINDWARD ISLANDS WILL BE DETERIORATING TONIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH... 65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. FURTHER STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES
...140 KM FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.

RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE LIKELY IN ASSOCIATION WITH
EARL.

REPEATING THE 5 PM AST POSITION...10.8 N... 54.5 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 24 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 PM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 PM AST.

FORECASTER PASCH

$$