Tropical Storm Hermine

Forecast Advisory 1



000
WTNT32 KNHC 292029
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM GASTON ADVISORY NUMBER 9
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT SUN AUG 29 2004

...GASTON CONTINUES TO WEAKEN...

AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS DISCONTINUED
SOUTH OF THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA. A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER TO LITTLE
RIVER INLET SOUTH CAROLINA. THIS WARNING WILL LIKELY BE LOWERED
LATER THIS EVENING.

AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GASTON WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 33.9 NORTH... LONGITUDE 79.6 WEST OR ABOUT 80
MILES... 130 KM... NORTH-NORTHEAST OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA.

GASTON IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 8 MPH...AND A NORTHWARD TO
NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON
THIS TRACK THE CENTER WILL CONTINUE MOVING OVER EASTERN SOUTH
CAROLINA THIS EVENING AND OVER NORTH CAROLINA LATER TONIGHT AND
EARLY MONDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH... 65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. GASTON SHOULD WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION LATER THIS
EVENING.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES SOUTHEAST
OF THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES.

RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS...
ARE EXPECTED IN ASSOCIATION WITH GASTON.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY OVER NORTHEASTERN SOUTH
CAROLINA AND SOUTHEASTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

REPEATING THE 5 PM EDT POSITION...33.9 N... 79.6 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 40 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AN INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 PM EDT...FOLLOWED BY A REGULAR PUBLIC ADVISORY
AT 11 PM EDT ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER...
UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPAT2 AND WMO HEADER WTNT32 KWNH.

FORECASTER PASCH

$$


000
WTNT31 KNHC 292050
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
HURRICANE FRANCES ADVISORY NUMBER 20
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM AST SUN AUG 29 2004

...POWERFULL HURRICANE FRANCES CONTINUES ON A SLOW WESTWARD TRACK...

AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED
FOR THE FOLLOWING LEEWARD ISLANDS BY THEIR GOVERNMENT OFFICIALS...
SAINT MAARTEN....ANGUILLA...BARBUDA...AND ANTIGUA. THE TROPICAL
STORM WATCH MAY BE EXTENDED TO THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS LATER
TONIGHT.

INTERESTS IN THE NORTHERN LESSER ANTILLES AND THE NORTHEASTERN
CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF FRANCES.

AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FRANCES WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 18.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 55.6 WEST OR ABOUT 495
MILES... 795 KM...EAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS.

FRANCES IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 9 MPH ...15 KM/HR. THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 135 MPH...215 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY ARE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES... 55 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 115 MILES...185 KM.

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY A RECONNAISSANCE PLANE WAS 949
MB...28.02 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 5 PM AST POSITION...18.8 N... 55.6 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...135 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 949 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 8 PM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 PM
AST.

FORECASTER AVILA

$$


000
WTNT33 KNHC 292055
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM HERMINE ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM AST SUN AUG 29 2004

...AND YET ANOTHER TROPICAL STORM IN AUGUST...

SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT TROPICAL STORM HERMINE...THE EIGHTH
OF THE 2004 ATLANTIC HURRICANE SEASON...HAS FORMED IN THE NORTH
ATLANTIC. AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM
HERMINE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 32.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 71.0 WEST
OR ABOUT 325 MILES...520 KM...SOUTHEAST OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH
CAROLINA.

HERMINE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH ...17 KM/HR. A
GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTH IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH... 65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES
... 95 KM FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 5 PM AST POSITION...32.4 N... 71.0 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
11 PM AST.

FORECASTER AVILA

$$