Hurricane Karl
Forecast Advisory 1
000
WTNT34 KNHC 162034
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM IVAN ADVISORY NUMBER 58
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
4 PM CDT THU SEP 16 2004
...IVAN WEAKENING OVER CENTRAL ALABAMA...
...ALL COASTAL WARNINGS DISCONTINUED...
AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...ALL COASTAL WARNINGS ARE DISCONTINUED.
AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM IVAN WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 33.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.0 WEST OR ABOUT 25 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF BIRMINGHAM ALABAMA.
IVAN IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 14 MPH. A GRADUAL
TURN TO THE NORTHEAST AT A SLOWER FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING
THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS MOTION SHOULD BRING THE CENTER OF IVAN
THROUGH NORTHEASTERN ALABAMA TONIGHT AND INTO NORTHWESTERN GEORGIA
OR SOUTHEASTERN TENNESSEE EARLY FRIDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 60 MPH...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS
IVAN MOVES FARTHER INLAND.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES FROM THE
CENTER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 980 MB...28.94 INCHES.
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING WILL BE DIMINISHING TODAY
DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS...INCLUDING RIP CURRENTS...ARE LIKELY
ELSEWHERE ALONG THE FLORIDA GULF COAST.
MAXIMUM RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 10 TO 15 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY
HIGHER AMOUNTS OVER THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS...CAN BE EXPECTED IN
ASSOCIATION WITH IVAN THROUGH SATURDAY.
TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS IN EASTERN ALABAMA...
NORTHERN AND CENTRAL GEORGIA...EASTERN TENNESSEE...SOUTH
CAROLINA...AND WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA.
REPEATING THE 4 PM CDT POSITION...33.1 N... 87.0 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 60 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 980 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 7 PM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 10 PM CDT.
FORECASTER BEVEN
$$
000
WTNT31 KNHC 162041
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM JEANNE ADVISORY NUMBER 13
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM AST THU SEP 16 2004
...JEANNE A STRONG TROPICAL STORM OVER THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...
AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC HAS
DISCONTINUED THE HURRICANE WARNING AND WATCH FOR THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC. THESE HAVE BEEN REPLACED WITH A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING...WHICH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE ISLAND OF HISPANIOLA FROM
LE MOLE ST NICHOLAS HAITI EASTWARD TO SANTO DOMINGO.
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN
BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE ACKLINS...CROOKED ISLAND...THE
INAGUAS...MAYAGUANA...AND THE RAGGED ISLANDS...AS WELL AS FOR THE
TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS.
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS...
INCLUDING CAT ISLAND...THE EXUMAS...LONG ISLAND...RUM CAY...AND SAN
SALVADOR.
INTERESTS IN THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
JEANNE.
AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JEANNE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.0 NORTH... LONGITUDE 69.3 WEST OR ABOUT 50
MILES... 85 KM... NORTHEAST OF SANTO DOMINGO IN THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC.
JEANNE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 8 MPH ...13 KM/HR. A TURN TO
THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED OVERNIGHT. THE CENTER OF JEANNE IS
EXPECTED TO REMAIN JUST INLAND OF THE NORTHERN COAST OF THE
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FOR MUCH OF THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/HR...WITH GUSTS TO
HURRICANE FORCE. SOME ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED WHILE THE
CENTER REMAINS OVER LAND...BUT JEANNE COULD REGAIN HURRICANE
STRENGTH AFTER IT MOVES OFF THE ISLAND OF HISPANIOLA. A SUSTAINED
WIND TO 69 MPH...111 KM/HR...WAS REPORTED AT LA ROMANA IN THE
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AT 4 PM AST.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES
...110 KM FROM THE CENTER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 990 MB...29.23 INCHES.
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...
ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED
ALONG THE NORTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC TODAY. WINDS AND
SEAS WILL CONTINUE SUBSIDING ALONG THE COASTLINE OF PUERTO RICO
DURING THE DAY.
RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 9 TO 13 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER
AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED OVER THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC. THESE RAINS
COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. A
RAINBAND TRAILING THE CENTER OF JEANNE CONTINUES TO PRODUCE
RAIN OVER PORTIONS OF PUERTO RICO...WHERE ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS
OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...LOCALLY HIGHER...ARE STILL POSSIBLE.
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PUERTO RICO AND THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC TONIGHT.
REPEATING THE 5 PM AST POSITION...19.0 N... 69.3 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 70 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 990 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 PM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 PM AST.
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
$$
000
WTNT32 KNHC 162043
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM AST THU SEP 16 2004
...NEW DEPRESSION FORMS IN THE FAR EASTERN TROPICAL ATLANTIC...
SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SHIP REPORTS INDICATE THAT THE DISTURBANCE IN
THE EASTERN TROPICAL ATLANTIC IS NOW A TROPICAL DEPRESSION.
AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.4 NORTH... LONGITUDE 32.8 WEST OR ABOUT
670 MILES...1080 KM... WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 16 MPH
...26 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH A
DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM WITHIN
THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES.
REPEATING THE 5 PM AST POSITION...11.4 N... 32.8 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 16 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 PM AST.
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
$$
000
WTNT34 KNHC 162050
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM IVAN ADVISORY NUMBER 58...CORRECTED
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
4 PM CDT THU SEP 16 2004
CORRECTED TO REMOVE STATEMENT ABOUT INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORIES
...IVAN WEAKENING OVER CENTRAL ALABAMA...
...ALL COASTAL WARNINGS DISCONTINUED...
AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...ALL COASTAL WARNINGS ARE DISCONTINUED.
AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM IVAN WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 33.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.0 WEST OR ABOUT 25 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF BIRMINGHAM ALABAMA.
IVAN IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 14 MPH. A GRADUAL
TURN TO THE NORTHEAST AT A SLOWER FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING
THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS MOTION SHOULD BRING THE CENTER OF IVAN
THROUGH NORTHEASTERN ALABAMA TONIGHT AND INTO NORTHWESTERN GEORGIA
OR SOUTHEASTERN TENNESSEE EARLY FRIDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 60 MPH...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS
IVAN MOVES FARTHER INLAND.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES FROM THE
CENTER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 980 MB...28.94 INCHES.
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING WILL BE DIMINISHING TODAY
DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS...INCLUDING RIP CURRENTS...ARE LIKELY
ELSEWHERE ALONG THE FLORIDA GULF COAST.
MAXIMUM RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 10 TO 15 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY
HIGHER AMOUNTS OVER THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS...CAN BE EXPECTED IN
ASSOCIATION WITH IVAN THROUGH SATURDAY.
TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS IN EASTERN ALABAMA...
NORTHERN AND CENTRAL GEORGIA...EASTERN TENNESSEE...SOUTH
CAROLINA...AND WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA.
REPEATING THE 4 PM CDT POSITION...33.1 N... 87.0 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 60 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 980 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
AT 10 PM CDT.
FORECASTER BEVEN/STEWART
$$
