Hurricane Karl
Forecast Advisory 2
000
WTNT32 KNHC 170227
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM KARL ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM AST THU SEP 16 2004
...KARL BECOMES THE 11TH NAMED TROPICAL STORM OVER THE FAR
EASTERN TROPICAL ATLANTIC...
AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KARL WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 11.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 33.9 WEST OR ABOUT 735 MILES
...1185 KM...WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.
KARL IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/HR. A MOTION TO
THE WEST OR WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED...WITH A GRADUAL DECREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED...DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH... 65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES
... 55 KM FROM THE CENTER.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.
REPEATING THE 11 PM AST POSITION...11.4 N... 33.9 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
AT 5 AM AST.
FORECASTER STEWART
$$
000
WTNT31 KNHC 170231
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM JEANNE ADVISORY NUMBER 14
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM AST THU SEP 16 2004
...JEANNE MOVING SLOWLY ALONG THE NORTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ISLAND OF
HISPANIOLA FROM LE MOLE ST NICHOLAS HAITI EASTWARD TO SANTO
DOMINGO.
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN
BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE ACKLINS...CROOKED ISLAND...THE
INAGUAS...MAYAGUANA...AND THE RAGGED ISLANDS...AS WELL AS FOR THE
TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS.
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS...
INCLUDING CAT ISLAND...THE EXUMAS...LONG ISLAND...RUM CAY...AND SAN
SALVADOR.
INTERESTS IN THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
JEANNE.
AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JEANNE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.4 NORTH... LONGITUDE 69.7 WEST OR ABOUT 65
MILES... 100 KM... NORTH-NORTHEAST OF SANTO DOMINGO IN THE
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC.
JEANNE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH
... 9 KM/HR...AND A SLIGHT INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER WILL
CONTINUE TO MOVE NEAR OR ALONG THE NORTH COAST OF HISPANIOLA
OVERNIGHT AND EARLY FRIDAY...AND BE NEAR THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS
LATER ON FRIDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/HR...WITH GUSTS TO
HURRICANE FORCE. JEAN HAS THE POTENTIAL TO REGAIN HURRICANE STRENGTH
AFTER IT MOVES OFF THE ISLAND OF HISPANIOLA.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES
...110 KM FROM THE CENTER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 990 MB...29.23 INCHES.
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...
ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED
ALONG THE NORTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC TODAY.
RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 9 TO 13 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER
AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED OVER THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC. THESE RAINS
COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. A
RAINBAND TRAILING JEANNE IS LOCATED JUST TO THE SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST
OF PUERTO RICO AND IT HAS THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL
RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...LOCALLY HIGHER...OVER
PORTIONS OF THAT ISLAND.
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PUERTO RICO AND THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC TONIGHT.
REPEATING THE 11 PM AST POSITION...19.4 N... 69.7 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 70 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 990 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 2 AM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 AM
AST.
FORECASTER PASCH
$$
000
WTNT34 KNHC 170232
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION IVAN ADVISORY NUMBER 59
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
10 PM CDT THU SEP 16 2004
...IVAN WEAKENS INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION...
...HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING STILL A MAJOR CONCERN...
AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION IVAN WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 34.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.2 WEST OR ABOUT
25 MILES NORTH-NORTHWEST OF GADSDEN ALABAMA.
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 14 MPH. A
GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTHEAST AT A SLOWER FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS MOTION SHOULD BRING THE CENTER OF
IVAN ACROSS NORTHEASTERN ALABAMA TONIGHT AND INTO NORTHWESTERN
GEORGIA OR SOUTHEASTERN TENNESSEE EARLY FRIDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS
AS IVAN MOVES FARTHER INLAND.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 986 MB...29.12 INCHES.
MAXIMUM RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 8 TO 12 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY
HIGHER AMOUNTS OVER THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS...CAN BE EXPECTED IN
ASSOCIATION WITH IVAN THROUGH SATURDAY.
TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS IN EASTERN GEORGIA...
SOUTH CAROLINA...AND EXTREME WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA.
REPEATING THE 10 PM CDT POSITION...34.3 N... 86.2 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 986 MB.
THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON IVAN. FUTURE INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN
PUBLIC ADVISORIES ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION
CENTER...UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPAT4 AND WMO HEADER WTNT34 KWNH...
BEGINNING AT 4 AM CDT...FRIDAY MORNING.
FORECASTER STEWART
$$
