Hurricane Karl
Forecast Advisory 4
000
WTNT32 KNHC 171426
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM KARL ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM AST FRI SEP 17 2004
...KARL MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD OVER OPEN WATERS...
AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KARL WAS
RE-LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 35.5 WEST OR ABOUT
810 MILES...1305 KM...WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.
KARL IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH
...17 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT
24 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. KARL IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES
...165 KM FROM THE CENTER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB...29.35 INCHES.
REPEATING THE 11 AM AST POSITION...12.3 N... 35.5 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 65 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 994 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 PM AST.
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
$$
000
WTNT31 KNHC 171441
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM JEANNE ADVISORY NUMBER 16
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM AST FRI SEP 17 2004
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ISLAND OF
HISPANIOLA FROM LE MOLE ST NICHOLAS HAITI EASTWARD TO SANTO
DOMINGO.
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN
BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE ACKLINS...CROOKED ISLAND...THE
INAGUAS...MAYAGUANA...AND THE RAGGED ISLANDS...AS WELL AS FOR THE
TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS.
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS...
INCLUDING CAT ISLAND...THE EXUMAS...LONG ISLAND...RUM CAY...AND SAN
SALVADOR.
INTERESTS IN THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
JEANNE.
AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JEANNE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 71.2 WEST. THIS
POSITION IS INLAND OVER NORTHWESTERN DOMINICAN REPUBLIC NEAR
SANTIAGO AND IS ABOUT 140 MILES... 225 KM...SOUTH OF GRAND TURK
ISLAND.
JEANNE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR...
AND A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. JEANNE HAS BECOME A LITTLE LESS ORGANIZED OVER LAND...BUT
COULD REGAIN HURRICANE STRENGTH DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO AS THE
CENTER MOVES BACK OVER WATER AND TOWARD THE BAHAMAS.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES
...325 KM FROM THE CENTER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 990 MB...29.23 INCHES.
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...
ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED
ALONG PORTIONS OF THE COAST OF HISPANIOLA IN THE WARNED AREA.
RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 9 TO 13 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER
AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED OVER THE PORTIONS OF HISPANIOLA. THESE
RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS ARE ALSO LIKELY OVER PORTIONS OF
PUERTO RICE.
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PUERTO RICO AND THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC.
REPEATING THE 11 AM AST POSITION...19.5 N... 71.2 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 65 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 990 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 PM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM AST.
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
$$
000
WTNT34 KWNH 171442
TCPAT4
PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 61 FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION IVAN
NWS...HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER...CAMP SPRINGS MD
11 AM EDT FRI SEP 17 2004
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION IVAN IS CONTINUING TO GENERATE HEAVY
RAINFALL...
FLOOD WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT OVER A BROAD AREA THAT INCLUDES THE
ENTIRE APPALACHIAN CHAIN AND POINTS NORTH AND EAST.
THE WATCHES COVER NORTHERN ALABAMA...EXTREME NORTHEASTERN
GEORGIA...EASTERN TENNESSEE...EASTERN KENTUCKY AND OHIO...MOST OF
SOUTH CAROLINA...WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA...VIRGINIA...WEST
VIRGINIA...MUCH OF MARYLAND AND NEW
JERSEY...DELAWARE...PENNSYLVANIA...AND SOUTHERN NEW YORK.
FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN OHIO
AND NORTHEASTERN KENTUCKY.
THE 11 AM EDT...15Z...POSITION OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION IVAN IS
LATITUDE 35.8 NORTH AND LONGITUDE 83.1 WEST...ABOUT 45 MILES EAST
OF KNOXVILLE...TENNESSEE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 20 MPH
WITH SOME HIGHER GUSTS. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 998 MB OR
29.47 INCHES. OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS...IVAN HAS BEEN MOVING IN AN
EAST-NORTHEASTERLY DIRECTION AT APPROXIMATELY 18 MPH. THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS.
SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN INCHES THROUGH 8 AM EDT.
LOCATION STORM TOTAL
ALABAMA...
TROY 6.43
DOTHAN 5.79
MONTGOMERY 5.28
MOBILE 5.07
PINSON 4.59
ANNISTON 4.48
GEORGIA...
ATLANTA 5.05
ATHENS 3.86
GAINESVILLE 3.42
TENNESSEE...
CHATTANOOGA 6.60
CROSSVILLE 5.14
KNOXVILLE 2.14
BRISTOL 1.98
NASHVILLE 1.53
KENTUCKY...
LONDON 3.34
JACKSON 1.86
LEXINGTON 1.79
...OHIO...
AKRON-CANTON 0.85
WOOSTER 0.69
YOUNGSTOWN 0.64
...WEST VIRGINIA...
HUNTINGTON 1.95
BLUEFIELD 1.56
PARKERSBURG 1.10
EXPECT ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3-6 INCHES WITH ISOLATED
HEAVIER AMOUNTS THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING...CONCENTRATED ALONG THE
APPALACHIAN MOUNTAINS.
REPEATING THE 11 AM EDT...15Z...POSITION...TROPICAL DEPRESSION
IVAN IS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 35.8 NORTH AND LONGITUDE 83.1 WEST.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 998 MB OR 29.47 INCHES.
THE NEXT ADVISORY ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION IVAN WILL BE ISSUED BY
THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER AT 5 PM EDT. REFER TO
STATEMENTS ISSUED BY LOCAL WEATHER OFFICES FOR FURTHER INFORMATION
CONCERNING THIS STORM.
BELL/ECKERT
$$
