Hurricane Lisa

Forecast Advisory 6



000
WTNT32 KNHC 202033
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
HURRICANE KARL ADVISORY NUMBER 17
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM AST MON SEP 20 2004

...KARL MAKES THE EXPECTED TURN TO THE NORTHWEST...

AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KARL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 18.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 47.1 WEST OR ABOUT 965
MILES...1550 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF THE LESSER ANTILLES.

KARL IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH ...19 KM/HR. THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVERNIGHT WITH A TURN TO THE
NORTH TOMORROW.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 120 MPH...195 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST AND KARL COULD BECOME A
CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE DURING
THE NEXT DAY OR SO.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 200 MILES...325 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 955 MB...28.20 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 5 PM AST POSITION...18.6 N... 47.1 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...120 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 955 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 PM AST.

FORECASTER BLAKE/LAWRENCE


$$


000
WTNT31 KNHC 202035
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
HURRICANE JEANNE ADVISORY NUMBER 29
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT MON SEP 20 2004

...JEANNE STRENGTHENS BACK INTO A HURRICANE EAST OF THE BAHAMAS...
...NO IMMEDIATE THREAT TO ANY LAND AREAS...

AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JEANNE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 27.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 71.2 WEST OR ABOUT 370
MILES... 595 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF GREAT ABACO ISLAND.

JEANNE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/HR... AND
A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE EAST ACCOMPANIED BY A DECREASE IN FORWARD
SPEED IS EXPECTED LATER TONIGHT OR ON TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE
AIRCRAFT ARE NEAR 85 MPH...140 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME
STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES... 35 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 105 MILES...165 KM.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY A RECONNAISSANCE
AIRCRAFT WAS 983 MB...29.03 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 5 PM EDT POSITION...27.4 N... 71.2 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 85 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 983 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 PM EDT.

FORECASTER STEWART


$$


000
WTNT33 KNHC 202038
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM LISA ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM AST MON SEP 20 2004

...LISA CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN OVER THE EASTERN TROPICAL
ATLANTIC OCEAN...

AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LISA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 13.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 36.8 WEST OR ABOUT 870
MILES...1395 KM...WEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.

LISA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR... AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS...AND LISA COULD BECOME A HURRICANE BY TUESDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 50 MILES
... 85 KM FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB...29.35 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 5 PM AST POSITION...13.8 N... 36.8 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 65 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 994 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 PM AST.

FORECASTER STEWART


$$