Hurricane Lisa

Forecast Advisory 10



000
WTNT33 KNHC 212028
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM LISA ADVISORY NUMBER 10
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM AST TUE SEP 21 2004

...LISA REMAINS A COMPACT TROPICAL STORM OVER THE OPEN
TROPICAL ATLANTIC OCEAN...

AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LISA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 14.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 40.3 WEST OR ABOUT 1090
MILES...1760 KM...WEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.

LISA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR...
AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. DUE TO THE SMALL SIZE OF LISA...SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN
STRENGTH ARE POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 50 MILES
... 85 KM FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 990 MB...29.23 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 5 PM AST POSITION...14.4 N... 40.3 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 70 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 990 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
AT 11 PM AST.

FORECASTER STEWART


$$


000
WTNT32 KNHC 212029
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
HURRICANE KARL ADVISORY NUMBER 21
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM AST TUE SEP 21 2004

...KARL NO THREAT TO LAND...

AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KARL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 22.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 48.6 WEST OR ABOUT 990
MILES...1595 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS.

KARL IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH
...26 KM/HR...AND A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED IN
THE NEXT DAY OR SO.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 120 MPH...195
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 290 MILES...465 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 948 MB...27.99 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 5 PM AST POSITION...22.9 N... 48.6 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...120 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 948 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 PM AST.

FORECASTER LAWRENCE


$$


000
WTNT31 KNHC 212030
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
HURRICANE JEANNE ADVISORY NUMBER 33
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT TUE SEP 21 2004

...JEANNE NOW MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AND REMAINS NO IMMEDIATE
THREAT TO ANY LAND AREAS...

AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JEANNE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 27.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 68.8 WEST OR ABOUT 515
MILES... 830 KM...EAST OF GREAT ABACO ISLAND.

JEANNE IS MOVING SLOWLY TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST NEAR 6 MPH...9 KM/HR.
A TURN TO THE SOUTH OR SOUTHWEST...WITH A GRADUAL DECREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED...IS EXPECTED LATER TONIGHT OR WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 90 MPH...150 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES... 75 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 120 MILES...195 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 972 MB...28.70 INCHES.

DANGEROUS SURF AND RIP CURRENTS...CAUSED BY LARGE SWELLS GENERATED
BY HURRICANE JEANNE...ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S.
COAST AND THE NORTHWEST AND CENTRAL BAHAMAS FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

REPEATING THE 5 PM EDT POSITION...27.3 N... 68.8 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...SOUTHEAST NEAR 6 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 90 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 972 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
AT 11 PM EDT.

FORECASTER STEWART


$$