Tropical Storm Nicole
Forecast Advisory 4
000
WTNT35 KNHC 110215
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM NICOLE ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT SUN OCT 10 2004
...WINDS DECREASING ACROSS BERMUDA AS NICOLE PASSES TO THE NORTH...
A GALE WARNING AND A TROPICAL STORM WATCH ARE IN EFFECT FOR BERMUDA.
THE WARNING AND WATCH MAY BE DISCONTINUED BY EARLY MONDAY.
AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NICOLE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 33.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 65.0 WEST OR ABOUT
55 MILES... 90 KM...NORTH-NORTHWEST OF BERMUDA.
NICOLE IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/HR...
AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TONIGHT...WITH A
GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST AND NORTH EXPECTED BY
MONDAY AFTERNOON.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH... 75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES
...185 KM....MAINLY NORTHEAST THROUGH SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER. A
WIND GUST TO 45 MPH WAS REPORTED ON BERMUDA DURING THE PAST FEW
HOURS. HOWEVER...WINDS SHOULD GRADUALLY SUBSIDE TONIGHT AND EARLY
MONDAY AS NICOLE MOVES FARTHER WAY FROM THE ISLAND.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 995 MB...29.38 INCHES...
BASED ON SURFACE REPORTS FROM BERMUDA.
REPEATING THE 11 PM EDT POSITION...33.1 N... 65.0 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...EAST-NORTHEAST NEAR 15 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 45 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 995 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 2 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 AM
EDT.
FORECASTER STEWART
$$
000
WTNT34 KWNH 110252
TCPAT4
PUBLIC ADVISORY NUMBER 10 FOR REMNANTS OF MATTHEW
NWS...HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER...CAMP SPRINGS MD
10 PM CDT SUN OCT 10 2004
...REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION MATTHEW CONTINUE TO DELIVER
SOME AREAS OF HEAVY RAIN WELL TO THE NORTH OF THE LOW CENTER...
AT 10 PM CDT...03Z...THE OCCLUDED LOW THAT ONCE WAS TROPICAL
DEPRESSION MATTHEW WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.9 NORTH LATITUDE AND 91.3
WEST LONGITUDE...OR NEAR 30 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF VICKSBURG
MISSISSIPPI. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR THE COAST ARE 20 MPH
WITH SOME HIGHER GUSTS. HIGHER WINDS WILL REMAIN NEAR THE COAST
AND OFFSHORE. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB OR 29.62
INCHES. OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS...MATTHEW HAS BEEN MOVING IN A
NORTHERLY DIRECTION AT APPROXIMATELY 12 MPH. THE EXTRATROPICAL
LOW IS FORECAST TO SLOWLY MOVE NORTH INTO SOUTHERN ARKANSAS OR
CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI BY MONDAY MORNING.
THE LOW SHOULD CONTINUE TO WEAKEN BUT THE THREAT FOR ISOLATED
AREAS OF HEAVY RAIN WILL CONTINUE INTO MONDAY FOR PORTIONS OF
ARKANSAS AND MISSISSIPPI. ADDITIONAL MAXIMUM RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF
1-2 INCHES WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS
OF LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY.
SELECTED 36 HOUR RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN INCHES THROUGH 7 PM CDT
SUNDAY.
LOCATION 36 HOUR TOTAL
LOUISIANA...
BOOTHVILLE 3.61
NEW ORLEANS/LAKEFRONT 3.48
MONROE 3.57
NEW ORLEANS/MOISANT 3.19
LAFAYETTE 2.75
ALEXANDRIA 2.32
NEW IBERIA 2.27
BATON ROUGE 2.03
SHREVPORT/DOWNTOWN 1.60
MISSISSIPPI...
VICKSBURG 5.20
NATCHEZ 3.90
JACKSON 3.75
GREENVILLE 3.46
GULFPORT 2.23
PINE BELT 2.11
HAWKINS FIELD 1.87
ARKANSAS...
MONTICELLO 3.03
EL DORADO 2.18
PINE BLUFF 1.46
REPEATING THE 10 PM CDT...03Z...POSITION OF REMNANTS OF TROPICAL
DEPRESSION MATTHEW IS 31.9 NORTH LATITUDE AND 91.3 WEST LONGITUDE.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB OR 29.62 INCHES.
THE NEXT ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION
CENTER FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION MATTHEW WILL BE ISSUED AT 4 AM CDT.
REFER TO STATEMENTS ISSUED BY LOCAL WEATHER OFFICES FOR FURTHER
INFORMATION CONCERNING THIS STORM.
LADER
$$
000
WTNT35 KNHC 110252
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
SUBTROPICAL STORM NICOLE ADVISORY NUMBER 4...CORRECTED
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT SUN OCT 10 2004
CORRECTED TROPICAL NICOLE TO READ SUBTROPICAL STORM NICOLE
...WINDS DECREASING ACROSS BERMUDA AS NICOLE PASSES TO THE NORTH...
A GALE WARNING AND A TROPICAL STORM WATCH ARE IN EFFECT FOR BERMUDA.
THE WARNING AND THE WATCH MAY BE DISCONTINUED BY EARLY MONDAY.
AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF SUBTROPICAL STORM NICOLE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 33.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 65.0 WEST OR ABOUT
55 MILES... 90 KM...NORTH-NORTHWEST OF BERMUDA.
NICOLE IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/HR...
AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE TONIGHT...WITH A
GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST AND NORTH EXPECTED BY
MONDAY AFTERNOON.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH... 75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
WINDS OF 40 MPH EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM....MAINLY
NORTHEAST THROUGH SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER. A WIND GUST TO 45 MPH
WAS REPORTED ON BERMUDA DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS. HOWEVER...WINDS
SHOULD GRADUALLY SUBSIDE TONIGHT AND EARLY MONDAY AS NICOLE MOVES
FARTHER WAY FROM THE ISLAND.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 995 MB...29.38 INCHES...
BASED ON SURFACE REPORTS FROM BERMUDA.
REPEATING THE 11 PM EDT POSITION...33.1 N... 65.0 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...EAST-NORTHEAST NEAR 15 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 45 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 995 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 2 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 AM
EDT.
FORECASTER STEWART
$$
