Hurricane Adrian

Forecast Advisory 2

---

000
WTPZ21 KNHC 180226
TCMEP1
TROPICAL STORM ADRIAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012005
0300Z WED MAY 18 2005

INTERESTS ALONG THE PACIFIC COAST FROM SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO TO EL
SALVADOR SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.3N 94.7W AT 18/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 55 DEGREES AT 4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.3N 94.7W AT 18/0300Z
AT 18/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.1N 94.9W

FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 10.7N 93.9W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 11.4N 92.7W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 12.3N 91.4W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 13.5N 89.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 10NE 20SE 20SW 10NW.
34 KT... 20NE 70SE 50SW 20NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 17.0N 85.5W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 22/0000Z 20.5N 80.5W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z 25.0N 74.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.3N 94.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0900Z

FORECASTER PASCH

$$