Hurricane Adrian

Forecast Advisory 3

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000
WTPZ21 KNHC 180826
TCMEP1
TROPICAL STORM ADRIAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012005
0900Z WED MAY 18 2005

AT 2 AM PDT...0900 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF EL SALVADOR HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE ENTIRE COAST OF EL SALVADOR...AND THE
GOVERNMENT OF GUATEMALA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE
PACIFIC COAST OF GUATEMALA.

INTERESTS IN CENTRAL AMERICA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
THIS SYSTEM.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.8N 94.1W AT 18/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 45 DEGREES AT 6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT....... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.8N 94.1W AT 18/0900Z
AT 18/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.5N 94.4W

FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 11.2N 93.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 12.0N 92.4W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 13.0N 91.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 40NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 14.0N 89.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 17.0N 85.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 22/0600Z 20.0N 81.0W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 23/0600Z 23.5N 74.5W
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.8N 94.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/1500Z

FORECASTER AVILA


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